玻璃熔窑天然气能耗绩效参数的确定及熔制过程的监控和改进  

Determination of Nature Gas Energy Performance Indicators (EnPIs) of Glass Furnace and Melting Process Monitoring and Improvement

作　　者：赵明 ZHAO Ming(ARC Glassware(China)Co.,Ltd.Nanjing 210041,China)

机构地区：[1]弓箭玻璃器皿(中国)有限公司,南京210041

出　　处：《玻璃搪瓷与眼镜》2022年第6期38-45,6,共9页Glass Enamel & Ophthalmic Optics

摘　　要：在定义玻璃熔窑单位吨玻璃液的天然气能耗参数时,将经典统计回归分析法与计量经济学的条件异方差自回归模型有机组合,创建融合式的动态模型。该模型大幅度提升了拟合精度和预测能力,为科学化管理能源体系奠定了良好的基础,并最终成为标准化模板,指导职责部门高效运作能源绩效,该模型可为后续其他能源问题确立参数、监控能耗过程和持续改进指标提供参考。During determination of the nature gas energy consumption per tonnage of glass liquid melted in the glass furnace, we joint the classical regression analysis in quality statistical technique with Auto-regression Conditional Heteroscedasticity model(ARCH) in economics organically, then create the converged dynamic model, which raises the good-of-fitness precision and predictive capability greatly. Thus play a firmly foundation on the scientific management of EnMS. Meantime, the completion of this subproject points the way towards other EnPIs’ establishment, energy consumption monitoring and energy performance continual improvement, and provides a guidance on how to implement EnPIs efficiently. It can also be used as the standardized model on energy management.

关 键 词：能耗参数 经典回归分析 条件异方差自回归模型 动态模型 能源绩效改进 

分 类 号：TQ171.623[化学工程—玻璃工业]