碳达峰背景下中美制造业双边贸易隐含碳再估算  

Re-Estimation the Embodied Carbon of Bilateral Trade in Sino-US under the Background of Reaching Peak

作　　者：崔兴华 CUI Xinghua(School of Economics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang Jiangxi 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学经济学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《生态经济》2022年第7期28-34,共7页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金地区项目“人口老龄化对制造业高质量发展的影响及对策研究”(72063009);江西省高校人文社会科学项目“数字服务助力江西省制造业企业高质量发展‘破局’:机制、效应与突破路径”(JJ21224);江西省教育厅科技项目“基于MRIO模型的江西省制造业服务化水平再测算”(GJJ200533)。

摘　　要：论文关注碳达峰背景下贸易隐含碳导致的“碳不公平问题”,并基于MRIO模型对2000—2014年中美双边出口贸易隐含碳进行测算,采用LMDI法对影响因素进行分解。结果显示:在中美双边贸易中,中国制造业始终处于隐含碳净出口状态,且具有较高的行业集中度;从变化趋势来看,2000—2014年中国—美国的出口贸易隐含碳整体呈先增长后下降的倒“U”型趋势;从产品结构来看,中国—美国的出口贸易隐含碳主要集中在最终品,而美国—中国的出口贸易隐含碳主要集中在中间品;从影响因素来看,技术效应降低了中国—美国的出口贸易隐含碳,规模效应是导致中国—美国出口贸易隐含碳增加的主要原因。This paper focuses on the“carbon inequity”caused by trade embodied carbon under the background of peak carbon.Based on the MRIO model,this paper calculates the embodied carbon of Sino-US bilateral export trade from 2000 to 2014,and decomposes the influencing factors by LMDI method.The results show that:in the bilateral trade between China and the United States,China’s manufacturing industry is always in the state of implied carbon net export,and has a high industry concentration.From the perspective of change trend,the implied carbon of China-US export trade showed an inverted“U”trend of first increasing and then decreasing from 2000 to 2014.From the perspective of product structure,the implied carbon of China-US export trade is mainly concentrated in final products,while the implied carbon of US-China export trade is mainly concentrated in intermediate products.From the perspective of influencing factors,technology effect reduces the implied carbon of China-US export trade,and scale effect is the main reason for the increase of implied carbon of China-US export trade.

关 键 词：碳达峰 贸易隐含碳 MRIO模型 LMDI法 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]