全球价值链对国际经济周期联动的影响效应研究--来自中国经验的证据  

Research on the impact of global value chain on international business cycle linkage-Evidence from China's experience

作　　者：李冰心 冯志强 Li Bingxin;Feng Zhiqiang(School of International Economics and Trade,Nanjing University of Finance&Economics,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210023)

机构地区：[1]南京财经大学国际经贸学院,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《市场周刊》2022年第6期79-83,共5页Market Weekly

基　　金：江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划“复杂全球价值链嵌入对国际经济周期非对称联动的影响”(项目编号:KYCX21_1424)。

摘　　要：从中国的特定事实出发,基于价值链嵌入和中间品投入两个视角进行全球价值链对国际经济周期联动的影响效应研究。结果表明:价值链嵌入对经济周期联动具有正向的推动效应,而中间品投入对经济联动则具有负向的弱化效应。进一步研究发现,价值链嵌入和中间品投入对经济联动的影响效应在贸易伙伴国处于经济紧缩阶段时表现更为明显。基于结论探讨中国以及其他经济体在融入全球价值链过程中进行政策调整实现稳增长。Starting from the specific facts of China,this paper analyzes the impact of global value chain on the linkage of international business cycle from the perspectives of value chain embedding and intermediate goods investment.The results show that value chain embed-ding has a positive promoting effect on economic cycle linkage,while intermediate goods investment has a negative weakening effect on eco-nomic linkage.Further research shows that the impact of value chain embedding and intermediate goods input on economic linkage is more obvious when trading partner countries are in the stage of economic contraction.Based on the conclusion,this paper discusses the policy ad-justment of China and other economies in the process of integrating into the global value chain to achieve stable growth.

关 键 词：全球价值链 价值链嵌入 中间品投入 国际经济周期联动 

分 类 号：F113[经济管理—国际贸易]