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作 者:曹艳[1] CAO Yan(Sinopec Petroleum Exploration and Production Research Institute,Beijing 100083,China)
机构地区:[1]中国石油化工股份有限公司石油勘探开发研究院,北京100083
出 处:《内蒙古石油化工》2022年第4期23-27,共5页Inner Mongolia Petrochemical Industry
摘 要:财建[2020]190号文将此前的页岩气定额补贴改为非定额补贴,导致页岩气单位利用量补贴不确定,影响经济评价和投资决策。为此根据新政规定的“多增多补、冬增冬补”原则,开展不同情景下的页岩气单位利用量补贴研究,并与北美进行对比提出相关建议。通过研究,页岩气单位利用量补贴受当年非常规天然气奖补资金总额和当年非常规天然气利用量的构成影响。单位利用量补贴随着奖补资金总额的增加而增加。在奖补资金总额不变的情况下,随着致密气产量降低,单位利用量补贴增加;随着页岩气产量增加,单位利用量补贴却是下降的。结论认为:不同情景下2021-2025年的页岩气单位利用量补贴呈下降趋势,不如美国页岩气补贴稳定。今后页岩气开发区块的地质条件更差、埋深大幅增加,为了保持单位利用量补贴的稳定性,在当前的奖补办法和奖补金额下,应通过技术进步增加产量来获得更多的补贴。另外,为了方便企业测算可获得的补贴收入,不影响经济评价和投资决策,建议年初明确当年可获得奖补金额及变化趋势。Caijian [2020] No. 190 changed the previous shale gas fixed subsidy to non-fixed subsidy, resulting in uncertain subsidies for shale gas unit utilization, which affects economic evaluation and investment decision-making. To this end, in accordance with the principle of “more production more subsidy” and “more in winter more subsidy in winter” stipulated in the New Deal, studies on shale gas unit utilization subsidies under different scenarios were carried out, compared with North America, and relevant suggestions were put forward. Through research, the unit utilization subsidy of shale gas are affected by the total amount award and subsidies of unconventional natural gas and the composition of the utilization of shale gas, tight gas, and coalbed methane in the current year. The unit utilization subsidy of shale gas increases with the increase of the total amount of unconventional natural gas subsidy funds;under the condition that the total amount of reward and subsidy funds for unconventional natural gas remains unchanged: with the reduction of tight gas production, the subsidies for unit utilization increase;With the increase of shale gas production, the subsidies for unit utilization decline. It is concluded that under different scenarios the unit utilization subsidies of shale gas from 2021 to 2025 shows a downward trend, which is not as stable as the US shale gas subsidy. In the future, the geological conditions of shale gas development blocks will be worse and the buried depth will increase significantly. In order to maintain the stability of unit utilization subsidy, under the current reward and subsidy method and amount, more subsidies should be obtained by increasing production through technological progress. In addition, in order to facilitate the calculation of the available subsidies for enterprises and not affect the economic evaluation and investment decision-making, it is suggested to clarify the amount of awards and subsidies available in the beginning of the year and its change trend.
关 键 词:单位利用量补贴 非常规天然气奖补总金额 页岩气产量 致密气产量 不同情景 对比研究
分 类 号:F407.220.67[经济管理—产业经济]
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