大变局中的中巴经济走廊建设  

The Changing Global Context and the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor

作　　者：王旭[1] 林一鸣[2] Wang Xu;Lin Yiming

机构地区：[1]北京大学外国语学院南亚学系 [2]中国现代国际关系研究院南亚研究所

出　　处：《南亚研究》2022年第2期18-40,156,157,共25页South Asian Studies

摘　　要：当今世界正经历百年未有之大变局,中巴经济走廊作为“一带一路”建设的标志性工程和先行先试项目,作为夯实中巴全天候战略合作伙伴关系的重要内容,在大变局中具有重要战略意义。本文从中美博弈、印巴对抗和中东变局三个层面分析巴基斯坦所处国际战略困境,从民族国家建构、政治转型、安全治理与经济发展四个方面概括巴基斯坦国内治理困境,探讨巴基斯坦战略调整新动向及其局限性。本文认为,中巴经济走廊建设为巴基斯坦应对世界大变局提供强大助力,但并不具有决定性作用。The world today is undergoing dramatic changes not seen in over a century.As an important pilot project of the Belt and Road Initiative,the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is of strategic significance within the context of these changes,especially considering the role it plays in consolidating the all-weather strategic partnership between China and Pakistan.This article assesses the strategic dilemma that Pakistan faces with respect to three critical challenges:China-U.S.competition,confrontation between India and Pakistan,and the changing situation in the Middle East.It also considers Pakistan’s four key domestic governance dilemmas,and strategic adjustments that Pakistan is undertaking around each:nationstate building,political transition,security governance and economic development.It argues that the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor provides a significant,but not decisive boost for Pakistan as it responds to these global changes.

关 键 词：中巴关系 巴基斯坦外交 巴基斯坦国家治理 巴基斯坦国家安全政策 周边外交 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济] F135.3