政治信任语境下俄罗斯的“选举参与”——基于2018年欧洲社会调查数据集的实证分析  

Russia’s Election Participation Measurement from the Perspective of Political Trust:A Regression Analysis Based on the European Social Survey Dataset 2018

作　　者：薛瑞凯 Xue Ruikai(School of Public Administration,Jilin University,Changchun)

机构地区：[1]吉林大学行政学院

出　　处：《经济社会体制比较》2022年第3期183-191,共9页Comparative Economic & Social Systems

摘　　要：民众对政治机构的信任反映了其心理层面的对政府的支持,对政治制度的良性运转至关重要。文章在俄罗斯政治历史发展的背景下,构建了政治信任语境下的选举参与分析框架,并基于2018年欧洲社会调查数据集中俄罗斯的社会调查数据,实证测量俄罗斯民众对国家机构的信任水平与其选举参与之间的关系。研究发现,俄罗斯民众对于国家机构的信任水平越高(政治信任越高),越倾向于积极参与政治选举活动,但民众对不同机构的满意度及不同的政治参与方式也会对其选举参与产生不同影响。因此,基于政治信任视角下的选举参与研究是理解俄罗斯政治转型的一个有益视角。People’s trust to political institutions is a reflection of their psychological support to government, which is essential for the healthy operation of the whole political system. This article constructs an analytical framework of election participation in the context of political trust, and uses the data from European Social Survey: Russia(2018) to empirically measure the relationship between its popular participation in elections and the level of trust in state institutions. It is found that the high level of trust in specific areas can positively drive election participation, and social satisfaction with different institutions, as well as the ways of political participation, have different influences on people’s election participation. Therefore, two derivative variables of political activities and social mentality also have the stratification effect, so as to provide experience for understanding Russian political participation in the field of comparative country studies. A high level of political trust can motivate people to participate in elections and express their support and recognition of political institutions. It is a good attempt to focus on Russia’s political transformation from an election participation perspective in a political trust background.

关 键 词：政治信任 制度运转 统一俄罗斯党 选举参与 

分 类 号：D73[政治法律—政治学] D77[政治法律—中外政治制度]