基于“六普”与“七普”数据的中部五省人口变化特征与规划应对  

Characteristics of Population Change and Planning Response in Central China Based on the 6th and 7th National Population Census Data

作　　者：占思思 陈思伽 胡濒月 冯楚芸 孙昊[2] Zhan Sisi;Chen Sijia;Hu Binyue;Feng Chuyun;Sun Hao

机构地区：[1]中国城市规划设计研究院深圳分院 [2]中国城市规划设计研究院深圳分院规划四所

出　　处：《规划师》2022年第5期21-27,共7页Planners

摘　　要：文章基于“六普”与“七普”数据的对比,分析2010~2020年中部五省的人口变化规律。研究结果显示,中部五省(除河南省外)10年来人口呈正增长的地级市通常不超过6个,中部五省在“强省会”战略下,人口进一步向省会城市及都市圈近域集聚态势显著,省会城市与次中心城市的人口增量悬殊拉大,大量城市呈人口负增长态势。根据研究结果,文章提出在国土空间规划编制过程中,需夯实“七普”数据研究的基础性作用,加强人口—经济—用地—资源的适配性研究,结合“强省会”战略下人口负增长城市的成因,精准判定收缩城市的类型及提出国土空间规划应对建议;需依托人口集聚特点、增长动力及空间分布,对省会城市、次中心城市和地级市进行差异的城镇化模式引导。The paper makes an analysis of population change rules in five central China provinces during 2010 and 2020 based on the 6th and 7th national population census data.The results show that less than 6 cities’population in the region(except Henan province)have grown in the past decade,population agglomeration towards provincial capitals and their metropolitan areas is distinctive under strengthening provincial capital strategy,the disparity between provincial capitals and secondary cities is widening,and most cities’population is experiencing negative growth.The paper proposes the 7th national population census shall play a fundamental role in the compilation of territorial space planning;the study on the compatibility of population,economy,land use,and resource shall be strengthened;recognizing the types of shrinking cities and making spatial strategies based on the reasons of negative growth;a disparate guidance for provincial capital,secondary cities,and prefecture cities shall be formulated based on their population agglomeration,driving forces,and spatial pattern.

关 键 词：“六普”数据 “七普”数据 中部五省人口变化 收缩城市 国土空间规划 

分 类 号：TU981[建筑科学—城市规划与设计]