制造业与物流业协同发展对地区经济增长的效应差异——基于2005—2019年31个省(自治区、直辖市)面板数据的实证  

The Influential Differences in the Coordinated Development of Manufacturing and Logistics on the Regional Economic Growth:An Empirical Analysis based on Panel Data of 31 Provinces,Autonomous Regions and Municipalities in China form 2005-2019

作　　者：沈丹阳[1,2] 刘姣 SHEN Dan-yang;LIU Jiao(School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300;Institute of Airport Economics,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津300300 [2]中国民航大学临空经济研究中心,天津300300

出　　处：《供应链管理》2022年第7期85-96,共12页SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT

基　　金：天津市教委科研计划项目(人文社科)“京津冀城市群多机场货运选择决策研究”(2020SK046)。

摘　　要：制造业与物流业协同发展是“双循环”下地区经济高质量发展的必然选择。为了研究两者协同对地区经济增长的效应差异,以便更好地推动高质量发展,文章利用复合系统协同度模型和计量经济模型,测算了31个省(自治区、直辖市)2005—2019年的具体情况。研究表明:物流业子系统协同度的单独作用明显弱于制造业子系统,两者整体协同度的正向作用显著。按“子系统先协同,复合系统再协同”进行政策设计,通过制度引导,提升协同认识,便于地区经济高质量发展。The coordinated development of manufacturing and logistics is a legitimate and necessary move to response top high-quality regional economic development under the new“dual circulation”.In order to study the features of the impact on regional economy and promote high-quality development,the data of 31 provinces in China during 2005—2019 were calculated by using the synergy degree model and the econometric model.During the empirical period,the synergy degree of the logistics industry subsystem is obviously weaker than manufacturing subsystem and the synergy between manufacturing and logistics in 31 provinces has a significant effect on regional economic growth.Thus,it is necessary to improve the synergy on subsystem first,and then composite system through institutional policy guidance,we can enhance synergistic awareness and to promote high-quality regional economic development.

关 键 词：制造业与物流业 复合系统协同度 地区经济增长 面板数据 

分 类 号：F252.24[经济管理—国民经济] F203