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作 者:邱斌[1] 张群 孙少勤 QIU Bin;ZHANG Qun;SUN Shao-qin(School of Economics and Management,Southeast University,Nanjing 210096,China;School of Business,Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology,Nanjing 201144,China)
机构地区:[1]东南大学经济管理学院,南京210096 [2]南京信息工程大学商学院,南京210044
出 处:《上海对外经贸大学学报》2022年第4期25-39,共15页Journal of Shanghai University of International Business and Economics
基 金:国家社会科学基金重点项目“服务业创新发展对我国全球价值链地位提升的机制与对策研究”(项目编号:20AJY014);国家社会科学基金重大项目“全球产业链重构对全球经济治理体系的影响及中国应对研究”(项目编号:21&ZD074);江苏高校哲社研究重大项目“江苏产业迈向价值链中高端的机制与路径研究”(项目编号:2018SJZDA011);江苏省社会科学基金重点项目“稳定和维护江苏省制造业全球价值链分工地位的机制和策略研究”(项目编号:20EYA002)的资助。
摘 要:在全球价值链重构背景下,区域经贸关系的持续增强将进一步深化全球价值链的区块化发展趋势。RCEP的签订与生效不仅意味着我国国际经贸关系结构的再调整,也对我国如何在该调整下进行新型全球价值链治理提出了挑战。本文采用上游度指数对RCEP成员国的全球价值链分工位置进行比较,发现相对于其他成员国而言,我国在大部分行业都拥有更高的价值链分工位置与更完备的价值链分工环节,具备进行新型全球价值链治理的一定行业基础。此外,本文还整理了RCEP成员国的关税减让数据,并在多国多行业的一般均衡模型基础上,采用结构模型的方式估计RCEP生效后各成员国的贸易量变动情况。结果表明,RCEP的生效在较大程度上提高了区域内国家间的贸易关联水平,这将为区域价值链的形成与巩固提供一定的贸易关联基础。在区域贸易关系加强的过程中,贸易创造效应和贸易转移效应都起到了重要作用,且由于投入—产出关联的广泛存在,与区外国家价值链合作仍是我国进行新型全球价值链治理的重要组成部分。In the context of global value chains re-construction,the continuous enhancement of regional economic and trade relations will further deepen the regionalization trend of global value chains.The signing and entry into force of RCEP not only means the re-adjustment of China’s international economic and trade relationship structure,but also poses a challenge to China’s new governance of global value chains under this adjustment.This paper uses the upstreamness to compare the positions of RCEP member countries in global value chains.It is found that compared with other member countries,China has higher global value chains positions and more complete global value chains linkages in most industries,which means certain industrial foundations for new governance of global value chain.In addition,this paper also collates the tariff concession data of RCEP member countries and uses the structural model to estimate the changes in trade volumes of each member country after RCEP entries into force.The estimation results show that the entry into force of RCEP will greatly strengthen the trade linkages among member countries in this region,which will provide certain foundations for the formation and consolidation of regional value chains.In the process of strengthening regional trade relations,both trade creation effect and trade transfer effect play important roles.Due to the wide existence of input-output linkages,cooperation with countries outside the region is still an important part of China’s new governance of global value chain.
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