农业外包服务市场的发育与均衡:一个演化博弈的理论模型  

Development and Equilibrium of Agricultural Service Outsourcing Market:A Theoretical Model of Evolutionary Game

作　　者：洪炜杰 HONG Weijie

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学经济管理学院/乡村产业研究中心,广东广州510642

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2022年第4期10-23,共14页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：江西省教育厅科技计划项目“农业社会化服务供给研究:生成逻辑、深化路径与政策引导——以水稻种植为例”(GJJ190184)。

摘　　要：农业外包服务市场并非静态的市场,而是存在发育、稳定和消亡等不同状态。文章在区分农业外包服务市场发育各个阶段的基础上,利用进化动力学和经济博弈理论构建演化模型,分析市场各个阶段的基本特征和影响因素。研究发现:在农业外包服务市场发育的不同阶段,其稳定程度、均衡点和影响因素各不相同,应区别对待;农业外包服务市场可以通过政府补贴进行培育,也可能是工业化、城镇化发育到一定程度的自然产物,关键在于如何诱导供给双方同时进入市场。由此提出:在农业外包服务市场发育较为落后的地区应重点通过补贴或修建基础设施以降低服务商进入成本;在外包服务市场发育较好的地区应鼓励外部资本进入或跨区作业以扩大市场规模;在农村劳动力劳动生产率或非农就业工资较低的地区则不宜发育农业外包服务市场。Agricultural service outsourcing market is not a static market,but has different states of development,stability and extinction.This article distinguishes the various stages of the development of the agricultural service outsourcing market and uses evolutionary dynamics and economic game theory to construct an evolutionary model to analyze its basic characteristics and influencing factors of each stage.It is found that the degree of stability,equilibrium point and influencing factors varies accordingly at dif⁃ferent stages of the development of the agricultural service outsourcing market,and should be treated dif⁃ferently.Agricultural service outsourcing market can be cultivated through government subsidies,or it may be a natural product of industrialization and urbanization to a certain extent.The key lies in how to induce both suppliers to enter the market at the same time.This article draws conclusions as follows:1)in areas where the service outsourcing market is relatively underdeveloped,subsidies or infrastructure construction should be enhanced to reduce service provider entry costs;2)In regions where the service outsourcing market is well developed,external capital should be encouraged to employed there or used cross-regionally to expand the market scale;3)It is not suitable to develop the agricultural outsourcing service market in areas with low labor productivity or non-agricultural employment wages.

关 键 词：市场发育 农业外包服务 市场均衡 博弈理论 

分 类 号：F304.4[经济管理—产业经济]