物流运输能力提升能否拉动城镇消费增长--基于因子分析的实证研究  

Can the improvement of logistics and transportation capacity stimulate the growth of urban consumption--Empirical research based on factor analysis

作　　者：袁泓[1] YUAN Hong(School of Economics and Trade Management,Anhui Vocational College Of Defense Technology,Lu'an 237005,Anhui,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽国防科技职业学院经贸管理学院,安徽六安237005

出　　处：《贵阳学院学报（自然科学版）》2022年第2期28-32,共5页Journal of Guiyang University：Natural Sciences

基　　金：2019年安徽省职业与成人教育学会教育科研规划课题“基于物流管理“1+X”证书制度的教学模式改革探索”(项目编号:Azcj144);2019年省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目“创新创业视角下智慧快递模式推广路径优化研究”(项目编号:SK2019A0604)。

摘　　要：物流运输能力的不断提升对经济的高质量发展具有重要促进作用,通过构建2005-2017年我国31省区物流运输能力的因子分析评价模型,在此基础上采用面板数据模型分析了物流运输能力对消费需求的影响作用。结果表明:全国物流运输能力的提升对城镇消费需求增长具有显著促进作用,不同地区表现出明显的差异性,中西部物流运输能力提升的消费引致效应并不显著,而东部物流运输行业的发展对消费需求表现出明显的拉动作用。因此,要进一步优化区域间物流资源的配置结构,巩固东部物流运输业的基础地位,推动中西部地区物流运输行业的稳定发展。The continuous improvement of logistics transportation capacity plays an important role in promoting the high-quality development of the economy.In this paper,the factor analysis and evaluation model of the logistics transportation capacity of 31 provinces in China from 2005 to 2017 is constructed.Based on this,the panel data model is used to analyze the logistics The effect of transportation capacity on consumer demand,the results show that:the improvement of the national logistics transportation capacity has a significant role in promoting the growth of urban consumer demand,but it shows obvious differences in different regions.The consumption of the logistics transportation capacity in the central and western regions has an effect.It is not significant,and the development of the eastern logistics and transportation industry has shown an obvious driving effect on consumer demand.Therefore,it is necessary to further optimize the distribution structure of logistics resources among regions,consolidate the basic position of the logistics and transportation industry in the east,and promote the stable development of the logistics and transportation industry in the central and western regions.

关 键 词：物流运输能力 消费需求 因子分析 面板数据模型 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济] F724