城市GDP与交通运输量特征的统计分析  

Statistical Analysis of Urban GDP and Traffic Volume Characteristics

作　　者：董慧 陈松 DONG Hui;CHEN Song(School of Mathematics and Statistics,Suzhou University,Suzhou 234000,China;School of Resources and Civil Engineering,Suzhou University,Suzhou 234000,China)

机构地区：[1]宿州学院数学与统计学院,安徽宿州234000 [2]宿州学院资源与土木工程学院,安徽宿州234000

出　　处：《宿州学院学报》2022年第6期6-11,共6页Journal of Suzhou University

基　　金：安徽省高等学校学科(专业)拔尖人才项目(gxbjZD2020091);宿州学院科研发展基金(2021fzjj31)。

摘　　要：为了解我国代表性城市GDP和交通运输量之间的关系,利用统计分析方法对2019年国内26个代表性城市交通运输量和经济总量进行研究。结果表明:城市交通运输量和城市GDP有着较好的对应关系,尤其城市轨道交通运输量受城市GDP影响显著。城市客运总量、公共汽电车运输量、轨道交通运输量和城市GDP、第三产业均表现较好的相关性,尤其与第三产业相关性系数较高。利用回归分析,建立城市客运总量、公共汽车量、轨道交通量和第三产业的拟合方程,回归效果较好。利用城市经济发展特征,对新时期城市交通运输量进行预测,为城市交通设计和规划提供依据。In order to understand the relationship between GDP and traffic volume of major cities in China, the traffic volume and total economic volume of 26 major cities in China in 2019 are studied by using statistical analysis method.The results show that there is a good corresponding relationship between urban transportation volume and urban GDP,and especially urban rail transportation is obviously affected by urban GDP.Urban passenger transport volume, bus and trolley bus transport volume, rail transit volume is correlated with urban GDP and tertiary industry, especially with the tertiary industry.Using regression analysis, the fitting equations of urban passenger transport volume, bus volume, rail transit volume and tertiary industry are established which reveals a better regression effect.Using the characteristics of urban economic development, this paper forecasts the urban traffic volume in the new period, so as to provide basis for urban traffic design and planning.

关 键 词：城市GDP 交通运输量 主成分分析 回归分析 

分 类 号：U4-9[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程] F54[经济管理—产业经济]