陕西省经济高质量发展与金融发展的互动关系研究  

On the Interactive Relationship Between High-quality Economic Development and Financial Development in Shaanxi Province

作　　者：冯飞[1] 吴明阳 FENG Fei;WU Mingyang(School of Economics and Management,Yan’an University,Yan’an 716000,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]延安大学经济与管理学院,陕西延安716000

出　　处：《咸阳师范学院学报》2022年第4期46-52,共7页Journal of Xianyang Normal University

基　　金：陕西省教育厅科研计划项目(18JK0861)。

摘　　要：选取2005—2020年陕西省宏观经济数据,构建反映陕西省经济高质量发展和金融发展的综合指标评价体系,通过构建VAR模型,利用格兰因果检验,脉冲响应等方法探究二者之间的互动关系。结果表明:陕西经济高质量发展综合指数、金融发展水平均呈现上升趋势,但金融发展水平增速较小;两个变量是一阶单整,构建的VAR模型是平稳的,二者之间存在单向因果关系,由脉冲响应图得出金融发展对陕西省经济高质量发展呈现正向-负向-正向的影响,最后在第七期消失;反过来,经济高质量发展对金融发展有正向滞后影响,但影响效果较小。基于此,提出陕西省提升金融发展水平、促进经济协调发展、加大创新力度等陕西经济高质量发展措绝。The macroeconomic data of Shaanxi Province from 2005 to 2020 were selected to construct a comprehensive index evaluation system reflecting the high-quality economic development and financial development of Shaanxi Province.The interaction between the two was explored by constructing a VAR model,using the Gran causality test and impulse response methods.The results show that Shaanxi’s high-quality economic development and financial development index show an upward trend,but the growth rate of financial development index is small;the two variables are first-order single integer,and the VAR model is stable.There is a one-way causal relationship between them.The impulse response diagram shows that the financial development has a positive-negative-positive impact on the high-quality economy of Shaanxi Province,and finally disappears in the seventh period.Conversely,high-quality economic development in Shaanxi Province has a positive and lagging impact on financial development,and the impact is small.It is proposed that Shaanxi Province should promote coordinated economic development,strengthen innovation,and strengthen all-round support and guidance for financial development.

关 键 词：经济高质量发展 金融发展 陕西省 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F123.2[经济管理—世界经济]