中国省际人口迁移变化特征——基于第七次全国人口普查数据的分析  

Research on Characteristics of China's Inter-provincial Migration:Based on the Dataof China's Seventh Population Census

作　　者：王桂新[1] Wang Guixin

机构地区：[1]复旦大学人口研究所

出　　处：《中国人口科学》2022年第3期2-16,126,共16页Chinese Journal of Population Science

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目“我国以人为核心的新型城镇化机制及推进战略研究”(编号:21ZDA067)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：文章利用全国人口普查数据分析2010~2020年中国省际人口迁移的变化特征。研究发现,与整个人口迁移流动规模迅速增长不同,省际人口迁移则逆向弱化,从2015年开始规模减小;省际人口迁移在强度弱化、规模减小的同时,东部沿海地区与中西部地区一些省际人口迁移重要省份的迁出、迁入规模及强度出现反向变化,使省际差异趋向减小,区域分布模式呈分散化趋势。迁移人口仍主要选择向北京、上海、江苏、浙江、广东等东部沿海经济发达地区集中,并分别形成以北京为中心的华北迁移圈,江苏、浙江、上海为中心的华东迁移圈,广东为中心的东南迁移圈;东部沿海地区与中西部地区的省际人口迁移重要省份之间已初步形成人口迁移对流,将有利于推动中国区域经济协调发展。This paper investigates the characteristics of Chinese inter-provincial migration from 2010 to 2020 by using the data of China’s Seventh Population Census. The research finds that, while total migration keeps increasing, inter-provincial migration has shown a weakening trend since 2015. As the intensity and scale of inter-provincial migration decrease,there is the reversal shift in the quantity and intensity of immigration and emigration in several critical provinces along the eastern coast and in the middle and western regions, resulting in narrowing inter-provincial differences and decentralizing regional distribution. Migrants are gravitating toward developed eastern coastal areas such as Beijing, Shanghai,Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Guangdong, etc., which formed three national inter-provincial migratory circles, i.e., North China,East China and Southeast China migratory circle with Beijing, Jiangsu-Zhejiang-Shanghai, and Guangdong serving as relocation centers, respectively. The preliminary migratory flow between crucial provinces on the eastern coast and those in the middle and western regions would significantly drive coordinating growth of China’s regional economy.

关 键 词：省际人口迁移 迁移规模 迁移强度 区域分布模式 迁移圈 

分 类 号：C924.25[社会学—人口学]