基于层次分析法-直觉模糊贝叶斯网络的作战保障能力评估  

Evaluation of Operational Support Capability Based on Analytic Hierarchy Process-Intuitionistic Fuzzy Bayesian Network

作　　者：徐梦迪 刘守生 李民 XU Meng-di;LIU Shou-sheng;LI Min(Military Theoretical Innovation and Operational Experiment Center,Army Engineering University of PLA,Xuzhou 221000,China;Basic Department,Army Engineering University of PLA,Nanjing 210007,China)

机构地区：[1]陆军工程大学军事理论创新与作战实验中心,江苏徐州221000 [2]陆军工程大学基础部,江苏南京210007

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2022年第6期88-99,共12页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

基　　金：陆军工程大学基础学科科研基金项目。

摘　　要：对作战保障综合能力提出一种新的评估方法,对定性指标构建直觉模糊贝叶斯网络模型,通过贝叶斯推理得到静态作战保障能力;对定量指标用层次分析法确定指标权重,得到动态后勤作战保障能力.采用直觉模糊贝叶斯网络和层次分析相结合的综合评价模型,并引入决策者的偏好因子得到作战保障能力的综合评价值.通过实例分析,验证了该方法的合理性以及有效性.A new evaluation method is proposed for the comprehensive capability of combat support,an intuitionistic fuzzy Bayesian network model is constructed for qualitative indicators,and static combat support capabilities are obtained through Bayesian inference;quantitative indicators are used to determine the weights of indicators by analytic hierarchy process to obtain dynamic logistics operational support capability.A comprehensive evaluation model combining intuitionistic fuzzy Bayesian network and analytic hierarchy process is adopted,and the preference factor of decision makers is introduced to obtain the comprehensive evaluation value of combat support capability.Through case analysis,the rationality and effectiveness of the method are verified.

关 键 词：作战保障 层次分析 模糊贝叶斯网络 能力评估 综合评价 

分 类 号：O225[理学—运筹学与控制论] O159[理学—数学] E234[军事—军事理论]