构建双循环新格局的意义:基于全球价值链重塑的解析  

The Significance of Constructing a New Pattern of Dual Circulation:Analysis Based on the Reshaping of the Global Value Chain

作　　者：李易 杨慧(指导) 倪月菊(指导)[2] LI Yi;YANG Hui;NI Yueju(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Information Science&Technology University,Beijing,100101;Department of World Economics and Politics,Institute of World Economics and Politics Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing,100732)

机构地区：[1]北京信息科技大学经济管理学院,北京100101 [2]中国社科院世界经济与政治研究所世界经济与政治系,北京100732

出　　处：《中国商论》2022年第14期9-12,共4页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：北京市教委实培计划项目(50299108A6)。

摘　　要：双循环新格局的构建是基于我国经济社会矛盾变化与全球经济结构变化的清晰认知。本文探寻双循环新格局对我国全球价值链地位提升的影响,将2005—2016年我国全球价值链地位指数与双循环主要评价指标相结合构建模型进行实证分析。研究结果表明:(1)我国全球价值链地位指数逐年攀升,国内增加值增幅大于国外增加值。(2)国际大循环为主的发展模式不利于我国全球价值链地位的进一步提升,或与当时我国国际大循环为主导的外向型经济制度遗留弊病相关。(3)国内大循环水平的提升有助于中国全球价值链地位的提高。(4)贸易自由化对中国全球价值链地位的提高有正向促进作用,而高水平关税并不利于提高我国全球价值链地位。The construction of the new pattern of dual circulation is based on a clear understanding of the changes in China’s economic and social contradictions and in the global economic structure.This article explores the impact of the new pattern of dual circulation on the promotion of the status of China’s global value chain.The status index of China’s global value chain from 2005 to 2016 and the main evaluation indicators of dual circulation are combined to build a model for empirical analysis.The results show that:first,the status index of the global value chain in China is rising year by year,and the increase of domestic added value is greater than that of foreign added value;second,the development model of international circulation is not conducive to the further promotion of the status of China’s global value chain or is related to the disadvantages left over by the export-oriented economic system dominated by the international circulation at that time;third,the improvement of the level of domestic circulation helps to improve the status of China’s global value chain;fourth,trade liberalization has a positive effect on the improvement of China’s status of the global value chain,while high tariffs are not conducive to improving China’s status of the global value chain.

关 键 词：双循环新格局 全球价值链重塑 增加值贸易 全球价值链地位升级 国际分工地位 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]