Investment risk evaluation of inland floating photovoltaic power plants in China using the HFLTS-TFN method  

作　　者：Yanli Xiao Xin Ju Bo Yu Zheng Wang Chuanbo Xu 

机构地区：[1]Economic and Technical Research Institute,State Grid Ningxia Electric Power Co.,Ltd.,Yinchuan,Ningxia,China [2]School of Economics and Management,North China Electric Power University,Beijing,China

出　　处：《Clean Energy》2021年第3期536-550,共15页清洁能源（英文）

基　　金：supported by the Chinese Postdoctoral Science Foundation(2020M680488).

摘　　要：Inland floating photovoltaic power plants(IFPPPs)are the key to making full use of water advantages to develop solar resources in the future.Identifying the investment risk is an important prerequisite for promoting the projects on a large scale.This paper proposes a model to assess the investment risk of IFPPPs in China.First,this paper identifies the investment risk factors and establishes an evaluation indicator system from four aspects.Second,the indicator data are collected and described by adopting hesitant fuzzy linguistic term sets and triangular fuzzy numbers to ensure soundness and completeness.Third,a weighted method combining the best-worst method and the entropy method are utilized to determine the indicator weights under the consideration of the impact of subjective preferences and objective fairness.Fourth,the results show that the overall risk level of China’s IFPPPs is‘medium low’.Fifth,sensitivity analysis and comparative analysis are implemented to examine the stability of the evaluation results.Finally,this paper also provides some risk-response strategies for the development of China’s IFPPPs from economy,society,technology and environment.

关 键 词：inland floating photovoltaic power plants risk assessment HFLTS-TFN BWM 

分 类 号：TM615[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]