“双碳”目标下环境规制的技术进步偏向效应研究  

Research on the Bias Effect of Technological Progress in Environmental Regulation under the“Double Carbon” Goal

作　　者：修静[1] 张振华[2] Xiu Jing;Zhang Zhen-hua(School of Management,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou Gansu 730000;Institute of Green Finance,Lanzhou University,Lanzhou Gansu 730000)

机构地区：[1]兰州大学管理学院,甘肃兰州730000 [2]兰州大学绿色金融研究院,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《经济纵横》2022年第5期52-58,共7页Economic Review Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“基于环境规制量化的绿色技术进步驱动全要素生产率提升路径研究”(编号:71804063);国家自然科学基金项目“京津冀及周边地区大气污染防治政策体系的演进特征、规制效应及协同机制研究”(编号:71874074);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“城市间雾霾污染防治政策的规制竞争及逐顶策略研究”(编号:18YJC630208);吉林省科技厅创新发展战略研究项目“‘保增长’和‘保环境’双压力下的吉林低碳转型研究”(编号:20200101072FG);兰州大学“双碳”计划战略发展专项项目“碳中和约束下可再生能源政策体系的效果预测及协同路径研究”(编号:lzujbky-2021-sp72)的成果。

摘　　要：在“双碳”目标下,我国碳减排政策的优化调整成为重要研究内容。本文对我国节能、低碳相关政策进行量化,表征我国节能低碳环境规制力度,放松技术进步中性假设,测度经济系统对技术进步的能源偏向性,并运用纠正怀特异方差的全局最小二乘法对节能低碳规制政策的技术进步偏向效应进行检验。研究发现:经济对碳排放的偏向性最高,能源次之;节能规制政策对技术进步偏向性的作用较小,在节能政策方面还需进一步拓展边界、探索可能性;碳减排规制对技术进步二氧化碳偏离起到了促进作用,但规制效应有待提升,需进一步强化相关政策。Under the “double carbon” goal, how to optimize and adjust China’s carbon emission reduction policy has become an important research direction. This paper quantifies China’s energy-saving and low-carbon policies to characterize China’s energy-saving and low-carbon environmental regulations. This paper also relaxes the neutral hypothesis of technological progress, measures the bias of China’s economic system towards energy and carbon technological progress, and uses the global least squares method to correct White’s heteroscedasticity to test the technical progress bias effect of energy-saving and low-carbon regulatory policies. The research shows that: from the perspective of technological progress, China’s economy has the highest bias towards carbon emissions, followed by energy. The energy-saving regulatory policy has little effect on the bias of technological progress, and it is necessary to further expand the boundaries and explore possibilities in terms of energy-saving policies. The regulation of carbon emission reduction has played a role in promoting the deviation of carbon dioxide from technological progress, but the regulation effect needs to be improved, and relevant policies need to be further strengthened.

关 键 词：节能低碳 技术进步 环境规制 政策量化 

分 类 号：F124.5[经济管理—世界经济]