智慧物流发展水平的动态测评——基于中国省际面板数据的实证研究  

Dynamic Evaluation of Intelligent Logistics Development Level:An Empirical Study of Interprovincial Panel Data Based on China

作　　者：马鸣晴 李从东[1] 杨卫明 Ma Mingqing;Li Congdong;Yang Weiming(Jinan University,Guangzhou 510632,China)

机构地区：[1]暨南大学,广东广州510632

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2022年第13期189-198,共10页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于两阶段语义X列表知识网络空间的复杂产品系统持续创新方法及应用”(72072072);广东省自然科学基金项目“B2C模式下闭环选址——库存集成优化模型研究”(2019A1515010045);暨南大学博士研究生拔尖创新人才项目“考虑多主体需求的复杂产品持续创新设计方案生成研究”(2021CXB027)。

摘　　要：提出基于智慧物流经济环境、智慧物流经济活动、省域物流业发展规模和智慧物流技术的综合测评体系,运用动态因子分析法,探究2014—2019年我国31个省、自治区、直辖市(未含港澳台地区)的智慧物流发展水平,实现横向空间差异和纵向动态趋势的全面测评。研究显示:(1)根据横向空间差异比较结果,我国各地区的智慧物流发展水平可划分为较好、一般和较差3个主要类别,总体呈现显著的东、中、西部梯度下降的空间分布特征;(2)根据纵向动态趋势分析结果,我国各地区的智慧物流发展水平可划分为上升型、下降型、波动型和稳定型4种变化形态,在时间和空间趋势上兼具规律性可循。This paper proposes a comprehensive evaluation system based on four dimensions:the economic environment of intelligent logistics,the economic activities of intelligent logistics,the provincial logistics industry development scale and the intelligent logistics technology.Based on the dynamic factor analysis method,this paper explores the development level and trend of the intelligent logistics in 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government(excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)in China from 2014 to 2019,so as to realize a comprehensive evaluation of horizontal spatial differences and vertical dynamic trends.The results show that:(1)According to the results of horizontal spatial differences,this study divides the level of intelligent logistics development in various regions of China into three categories:good,general and poor,and the development,which presents the spatial distribution characteristics of gradient decline in the east,middle and west generally.(2)According to the results of vertical dynamic trends,this study divides the level of intelligent logistics development in various regions of China into four changing patterns:upward,downward,fluctuation and stable,which has regular trends in time and space.

关 键 词：智慧物流 省域比较 动态因子分析 综合评价 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济] F061.5