双循环新格局促进了中国数字贸易高质量发展吗——基于创新能力和产品空间的视角  

Does the New Pattern of Dual Circulation Promote the High Quality Development of China's Digital Trade:From the Perspective of Innovation Ability and Product Space

作　　者：李惠娟[1] 李文秀 代丹丹 LI Hui-juan;LI Wen-xiu;DAI Dan-dan(Guangzhou University,Guangzhou 510006;Guangdong University of Finance,Guangzhou 510521,China)

机构地区：[1]广州大学管理学院,广东广州510006 [2]广东金融学院经济贸易学院,广东广州510521

出　　处：《当代财经》2022年第7期100-111,共12页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“产品空间重构视角下创新驱动中国制造业转型升级的路径与对策研究”(20BJY096);国家自然科学基金青年项目“中产阶层休闲行为的时空规律及决策机制研究以——广州市为例”(41701190);广东省普通高校重点科研平台与科研项目“广东服务贸易可持续发展研究基地”(2019WZJD004)。

摘　　要：“两头在外”的全球价值链嵌入模式使中国数字贸易陷入“模仿创新”和“低端锁定”的困境。基于创新能力和产品空间的视角,使用投入产出方法,探讨双循环新格局是否能够促进中国数字贸易高质量发展。研究结果显示:双循环新格局对中国数字贸易高质量发展有着显著的促进作用,参与国际循环通过后向模仿创新能力中介渠道对中国数字贸易高质量发展产生正向影响,而参与国内循环通过前向自主创新能力中介渠道促进了中国数字贸易高质量发展,其促进作用分别受产品空间密度和技术复杂度的调节影响。拓展分析揭示了双循环新格局对中国数字贸易质量的影响存在异质性。研究为中国数字贸易企业应对逆全球化和外部风险的冲击与挑战,形成双循环新格局,特别是利用国内统一大循环的超大规模优势来培育本土自主创新能力,提高产品空间密度和技术复杂度,最终实现中国数字贸易高质量发展提供重要的政策启示。China’s digital trade is trapped in the dilemma of“ imitative innovation” and“low-end locking”due to its“both ends outside”embedding pattern in the global value chain. From the perspective of innovation ability and product space, this paper uses the input-output method to explore whether the new pattern of dual circulation can promote the high-quality development of China’s digital trade. The results show that the new pattern of dual circulation is playing a significant role in promoting the high-quality development of China’s digital trade. Participating in the international circulation has a positive impact on the high-quality development of China’s digital trade through the intermediary channel of the backward imitative innovation capability, while participating in the domestic circulation has promoted the high-quality development of China’s digital trade through the intermediary channel of the forward independent innovative capability, and their promotion effects are affected by product space density and product technical complexity respectively. The expansion analysis reveals that there is heterogeneity in the impact of the new pattern of dual circulation on the quality of China’s digital trade. This study provides important policy enlightenment for China’s digital trade enterprises to deal with the impact and challenges of the counter-globalization and external risks, form a new pattern of dual circulation, especially make use of the super large-scale advantages of domestic unified large circulation to cultivate local independent innovative ability, and improve the product space density and the technical complexity, so as to finally realize the high-quality development of China’s digital trade.

关 键 词：双循环新格局 数字贸易 高质量发展 创新能力 产品空间 

分 类 号：F710[经济管理—产业经济]