家户储蓄对本地农村劳动力具有吸附力吗?——基于CLDS2018的实证分析  

Are Household Savings Attract to Rural Local Labors?——An Empirical Analysis Based on CLDS2018

作　　者：李丹 高正昊 程逸文 马玉波[4] LI Dan;GAO Zhenghao;CHENG Yiwen;MA Yubo(School of Economics and Management,Chuzhou University,Chuzhou 239000,Anhui,China;College of Economics and Management,China Agricultural University,Beijing 100091,China;International Business Faculty,Beijing Normal University Zhuhai,Zhuhai 519087,Guangdong,China;College of Tourism,Guangdong Polytechnic of Science and Technology,Zhuhai 519090,Guangdong,China)

机构地区：[1]滁州学院经济与管理学院,安徽滁州239000 [2]中国农业大学经管学院,北京100091 [3]北京师范大学珠海校区国际商学部,广东珠海519087 [4]广东科学技术职业学院旅游学院,广东珠海519090

出　　处：《农业经济与管理》2022年第4期91-100,共10页Agricultural Economics and Management

基　　金：黑龙江博士后落户启动基金项目:乡村振兴战略中黑龙江省涉农保险创新研究(LBH-Q18022)。

摘　　要：把握影响农村劳动力流动的影响因素,对于合理分配人力资源,促进经济高质量发展具有重要的现实意义。基于2018年CLDS数据个体及家户样本,利用Logit分类评定模型及中介效应模型分析农户大额消费需求、家户储蓄、回迁行为之间的内在逻辑关系。结果表明,家户储蓄对农村劳动力回流行为具有显著正向促进作用和显著中介效应,农村劳动力为了追求更高的储蓄以满足其远期大额消费而选择回流,医疗、养老、安置三项大额消费需求是农户追求高储蓄从而进行回迁的深层动机。因此,要加强政策支持、优化农村信贷环境、完善农村金融服务体系,利用储蓄的综合引导、经济渗透与串联作用促进农村劳动力在地域间合理分配。It has a great practical significance to ascertain the factors of rural labor mobility and distribute labor resources rationally for promoting high-quality economical growth.Logit model and mediation effect model were used,based on individual and household samples of CLDS data in 2018,analyze the internal relationship among large consumption demand of farmers'family,household savings and migration were analyzed.Empirical analysis results indicated that:household savings had a significant positive and mediating effect on the return behavior of rural labor force.Rural labor force chose to return in order to pursue higher savings for meeting their long-term large consumption.Furthermore,the occurrence of medical treatment,pension and resettlement was the deep motivation for farmers to pursue high savings and move back.

关 键 词：家户储蓄 农户大额消费 农村劳动力回流 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]