对外贸易是否促进了中部地区集约化增长?  

Will foreign trade foster intensive growth in Central China?

作　　者：张建清 龚恩泽[1] 赵雅婷 ZHANG Jian-qing;GONG En-ze;ZHAO Ya-ting(Institute for the Development of Central China,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;School of Economics and Management,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学中国中部发展研究院,湖北武汉430072 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《科学学研究》2022年第7期1211-1223,共13页Studies in Science of Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金资助项目(19BGJ033)。

摘　　要：中部地区对外贸易是一柄双刃剑,在逆全球化加深的背景下有必要从全要素生产率的角度厘清中部地区对外贸易对区域集约化增长的影响效应和影响机制。研究发现:第一,中部地区对外贸易对全要素生产率造成了直接正向影响,且会通过提高产业绝对专业化水平、增加政府支出水平产生正向间接影响,有利于集约化增长;第二,异质性分析表明对外贸易对开放度较低的城市、小型城市以及外贸政策条件较好的城市全要素生产率影响更高,同时影响效应因相对专业化产业的差异存在异质性,对制造业、科研产业、高新技术产业专业化程度高的城市全要素生产率促进作用更低;第三,对外贸易对技术创新转化为经济效益的刺激不明显,且会造成区域内产业同质化竞争加剧、对政策依赖过强、区域经济总量差距拉大的风险。据此提出了对策建议。At present, Central China has been promoting the experiment of establishing free trade zones and constantly expanding the influence radius of China Railway Express. The products in Central China can arrive in European market and Western Asia more conveniently and safely. Compared with the Eastern and Western regions, Central China has two main disadvantages in the process of expanding the scale of foreign trade: geographical location and policy environment. However, through participating in Belt and Road initiative, these two disadvantages are disappearing. On the whole, the scale of foreign trade in Central China is expanding fast, showing a trend of "from south to north". Foreign trade can effectively optimize industrial structure, stimulate technological progress and improve policy environment, so that participating in international trade and integrating into international market provide opportunities for Central China to promote industrial transformation and strengthen new momentum to drive development. However, both theoretical and empirical studies have confirmed that foreign trade is a "double-edged sword" for regional development. While foreign trade promotes enterprise profits and stimulates economic growth, it also contains the risks of "anti-dumping", "entity industry hollowing out" and rupture of industry chain. Whether foreign trade in Central China can steadily promote regional intensive growth needs to be clarified.Total factor productivity(TFPR) represents the efficiency of social production and the operating benefit of enterprises, which can precisely reflect intensive growth in a region. Therefore, qualitative analysis has been made on the impact of foreign trade on total factor productivity of prefecture-level cities in Central China and its possible impact mechanism. At the same time, econometric models have been constructed to empirically test the impact of foreign trade on total factor productivity based on the data of prefecture-level cities in Central China from 2006 to 2017. The results s

关 键 词：对外贸易 集约化增长 全要素生产率 中部地区 影响机制 

分 类 号：F741.2[经济管理—国际贸易]