天然气驱动可持续发展的未来--第28届世界天然气大会综述  

A sustainable future--powered by gas:A brief summary from the 28th World Gas Conference(WGC)

作　　者：马新华[1,2] 窦立荣 王红岩[1,2] 刘德勋[1,2] 巴丹 赵群[1,2] 赵素平 李俏静[1,2] 廖旋[1] 屈珺雅 李辉[1] MA Xinhua;DOU Lirong;WANG Hongyan;LIU Dexun;BA Dan;ZHAO Qun;ZHAO Suping;LI Qiaojing;LIAO Xuan;QU Junya;LI Hui(PetroChina Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development,Beijing 100083,China;National Energy Shale Gas R&DCenter,Beijing 100083,China)

机构地区：[1]中国石油勘探开发研究院 [2]国家能源页岩气研发(实验)中心

出　　处：《天然气工业》2022年第7期1-6,共6页Natural Gas Industry

摘　　要：天然气在以低耗能、低污染、低排放为特征的可持续低碳发展模式中将发挥越来越重要的作用,成为被关注的焦点。第28届世界天然气大会(WGC2022)于2022年5月23—27日在韩国大邱市召开。该次大会归纳总结了过去4年世界天然气产业研究进展,分析研判了天然气行业未来的发展趋势,并达成以下共识:①天然气当前是一种过渡燃料,更会成为未来发展的基础燃料;②天然气供需价值链具有高度灵活性和适应性,多元化供应成为发展优势;③近两年石油和天然气现货价格的大幅度上涨引发了天然气向煤炭的逆转,导致了全球碳排放量的增长;④全球LNG市场出现结构性紧张,长协合同数量将呈现增长趋势;⑤天然气与氢气协同发展,将加速未来低碳时代的到来;⑥天然气行业的甲烷监测和计量技术将成为下一个重大创新;⑦各国政府不断提升地下储气库库存量最低水平,相继出台天然气增储上产激励政策。基于所取得的认识和体会,对中国天然气发展提出如下建议:①继续突出天然气产业的重要地位,加大勘探开发力度,提升供给能力和话语权;②适应新冠肺炎疫情和俄乌冲突造成的国际天然气供应新格局,统筹制定天然气进出口贸易对策;③重视LNG业务合作,科学布局LNG进口配套设施建设,掌握与天然气资源国合作的主动权;④把天然气与氢气业务全产业链同规划同部署,统筹氢气与天然气基础设施建设的有效衔接;⑤加大政策扶持力度,加强地下储气库、LNG接收站等基础设施建设,储备更多发展底气,筑牢能源安全防线。Natural gas will play more and more important role in the sustainable low-carbon development mode characterized by low energy consumption,low pollution and low emission.It has been and will continue to be the focus of attention.The 28th World Gas Conference(WGC2022)was held on May 23-27,2022 in Daegu,South Korea.The conference summarized the progress of world natural gas in the past four years,analyzed and judged the future development trend,and reached seven consensuses:(1)Natural gas is not only a transitional fuel,but also a basic fuel for future development.(2)Supply and demand value chain of natural gas has high flexibility and adaptability,and supply diversification has become a development advantage.(3)With the effect of the rapid increase of oil and gas price,the reversal of natural gas to coal has intensified the rapid growth of global carbon emissions.(4)Structural tension is emerging in the global LNG market,and the number of long-term agreement contracts will show an increasing trend.(5)The coordinated development of natural gas and hydrogen will accelerate the arrival of the low-carbon era.(6)Methane monitoring and leakage measurement technology in the natural gas industry will become the next important innovation.(7)Governments of various countries have continuously raised the minimum level of underground gas storage,and successively issued incentive policies to increase gas reserves and production.Based on the experience,the following suggestions are put forward for the development of China's natural gas:(1)Continue to highlight the important position of the natural gas industry,increase exploration and development,and improve supply capacity and voice;(2)To adapt to the new setup of international natural gas supply caused by the COVID-19 and the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,and to formulate overall strategies for natural gas import and export trade;(3)Attach importance to LNG business,scientifically arrange the construction of LNG import supporting facilities,and take the initiative to coop

关 键 词：第28届世界天然气大会 天然气 氢气 LNG CCUS 中国天然气发展建议 

分 类 号：F416.22-2[经济管理—产业经济]