服务业比重上升与居民收入分配不平等  

Rising Proportion of Service Industry and Inequality of Residents Income Distribution

作　　者：魏作磊[1] 刘海燕 陈丽娴[1] WEI Zuolei;LIU Haiyan;CHEN Lixian(Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006)

机构地区：[1]广东外语外贸大学经济贸易学院,广东广州510006

出　　处：《首都经济贸易大学学报》2022年第4期56-68,共13页Journal of Capital University of Economics and Business

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“扩大生产服务业开放促进中国制造业升级的路径与对策研究”(18BJY177);国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目“生产性服务业空间布局对制造业价值链升级的影响研究”(72003048);教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“制造业服务化推动中国经济高质量发展的机理与对策研究”(20YJC790010)。

摘　　要：基于1999—2018年中国31个省份的面板数据,运用空间计量模型与非线性门槛模型实证考察服务业比重上升对居民收入分配差距的作用机制。实证结果表明,服务业比重上升与居民收入分配差距存在倒U型关系,中国目前主要处于倒U型曲线左侧。特定阶段内服务业比重上升会通过空间溢出效应影响居民收入分配情况。进一步通过非线性面板门槛模型检验不同技术进步偏向程度下服务业比重变化与收入分配差距之间的关系,结果表明资本偏向型技术进步的门槛效应呈现先增后减的态势。此外,根据居民收入分配分布特点对基准回归结果进行拓展分析,结果表明在地区及时段分布异质情形下,服务业比重上升对居民收入分配差距均会产生显著的异质性影响。Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 1999 to 2018,this paper uses the spatial econometric model and the nonlinear threshold model to empirically investigate the mechanism of the rising proportion of the service industry on the residents’income distribution gap,The empirical results show that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between the rising proportion of the service industry and the residents income distribution gap,and China is mainly on the left side of the inverted U curve.The rising proportion of service industry in a specific stage would affect residents income distribution through the spatial spillover effect.Further,by testing the relationship of the rising proportion of the service industry and the income distribution gap through the nonlinear panel threshold model under the bias of different technological progress,the results show that the threshold effect of the capital-biased-technological progress shows a trend of increasing first and then decreasing.Moreover,by conducting the extended analysis of the benchmark results according to the characteristics of the residents income distribution gap.The results show that the rising proportion of service industry would impose a significantly heterogeneous impact on the residents income distribution gap in the case of the regional or temporal heterogeneity.

关 键 词：服务业比重 收入分配 收入分配差距 空间溢出 技术进步偏向 

分 类 号：F014.4[经济管理—政治经济学] F061.3