西部欠发达地区乡村振兴评价及障碍因子分析--以南疆四地州为例  

Evaluation and Obstacle Factors Analysis of Rural Revitalization of Underdeveloped Areas in the Western Region:Taking Four Prefectures of Southern Xinjiang as an Example

作　　者：马长发[1] 祝悦悦 MA Changfa;ZHU Yueyue(School of Statistics and Data Science,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学统计与数据科学学院,乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《开发研究》2022年第2期90-99,共10页Research On Development

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“东西部产业转移受阻背景下新疆差别化土地政策构建”(71263049);国家自然科学基金项目“扶贫、稳定、城乡融合视域下的南疆三地州新型城镇化制度变迁路径研究”(71864034)。

摘　　要：立足于党的十九大提出的乡村振兴战略“20字”方针构建出乡村振兴评价指标体系,以南疆四地州为研究对象,通过计算灰色关联相对贴近度测评南疆四地州乡村振兴水平,并进一步探索影响乡村有效振兴的障碍因素。乡村振兴评价结果显示,南疆四地州2019年乡村振兴得分均处于0.4~0.6之间,属一般水平,且除了阿克苏地区之外其他3个地州各自得分均不超过5分,乡村振兴状态不太稳定,乡村振兴成果面临较大摇摆风险。阿克苏地区相比较于其他3个地区,乡村振兴效果稍好。和田地区就乡村振兴5个方面综合来看,较其他3个地区还有差距,克孜勒苏柯尔克孜自治州以及喀什地区乡村振兴各方面均衡,进程却较为缓慢,乡村振兴成效不明显。障碍度模型结果显示,在四地州中,最主要的共同的乡村振兴阻碍点在教育和生态上,次要障碍点在产业兴旺,且四地州均不相同,生活富裕方面基本没有太大障碍,需要设立更多高等教育学校,引进更多专业人才,划分好生活区域,减少环境污染,找准产业定位,充分衔接现代化。Based on the 20-word general requirements of rural revitalization strategy proposed at the 19th CPC National Congress,this paper devises an indicator system for rural revitalization evaluation;taking the four prefectures of Southern Xinjiang as the research object,it evaluates the level of rural revitalization of the four prefectures by calculating the relative close-degree of grey relation,and further explores obstacles affecting effective rural revitalization.The evaluation results show that the scores of rural revitalization of the four prefectures in 2019 are between 0.4~0.6,which is at the general level,and the scores of the three prefectures except Aksu Prefecture are no more than 5.The state of rural revitalization is not very stable,and the results of rural revitalization are at great risk of fluctuating.Compared with the other three prefectures,rural revitalization operates better in Aksu.In terms of the five aspects of rural revitalization in Hotan Prefecture,there is still a gap compared with the other three areas.The levels of rural revitalization of Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture and Kashgar Prefecture are balanced in all aspects,but the processes are relatively slow,and the effects are not obvious.The results of the obstacle degree model show that among the four prefectures,the most common obstacle to rural revitalization mainly is in education and ecology,and the secondary obstacle is in industrial prosperity.Moreover,obstacles of the four prefectures are different,but there are basically no major obstacles to prosperity.It is necessary to build more higher education schools,introduce more professionals,divide living areas,reduce environmental pollution,identify industrial positioning and fully align with modernization.

关 键 词：乡村振兴 障碍因子 灰色关联 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]