城市会展业经济影响评估模型与实证——以厦门市为例  

Assessment Model and Empirical Study of Economic Impact of Urban Convention and Exhibition Industry——A Case Study of Xiamen

作　　者：吴青兰 陈民伟 耿松涛[2] Wu Qinglan;Chen Minwei;Geng Songtao(Business and Management School,Xiamen Huaxia University,Xiamen Fujian 361024,China;School of Tourism,Hainan University,Haikou,570228,China)

机构地区：[1]厦门华厦学院商务与管理学院,福建厦门361024 [2]海南大学旅游学院,海口570228

出　　处：《统计与决策》2022年第15期39-44,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：全国教育科学规划教育部重点课题(DIA170422)。

摘　　要：文章基于《中国国民经济核算体系(2016)》制度框架,运用生产总值核算中心账户、卫星账户思想和投入产出模型等工具,充分利用官方公开的经济统计数据,补充调查收集因会议展览活动引致的范围支出者消费数据,构建以增加值为主要目标变量、合理测度乘数效应的城市会展业经济影响分析的理论和方法,并以厦门市为例进行实证研究,探求会展业对城市、行业及宏观经济的影响,以及产业发展的区域适应性,为城市发展政策的制定和调整提供依据。Based on the institutional framework of the Chinese System of National Accounts(2016), this paper uses some tools such as the GDP accounting center account, satellite accounts, input-output model, makes full use of the official economic statistics to supplement the collection of consumption data of the range of spenders caused by the convention and exhibition activities, and constructs the theory and method of economic impact analysis of urban exhibition industry, which takes added value as the main objective variable and reasonably measures multiplier effect. Finally, taking Xiamen as an example, the paper makes an empirical study to explore the influence of exhibition industry on the city, industry and macro economy, as well as the regional adaptability of industrial development, providing a basis for the formulation and adjustment of urban development policies.

关 键 词：会展业 经济影响分析 增加值 乘数效应 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]