二季度百名经济学家预期未来半年我国经济将恢复向好——2022年二季度中国百名经济学家信心调查报告  

China’s Economy Is Expected to Recover and Improve in the Second Half of the Year Report of the Survey on the Confidence of About 100 Chinese Economists in Q22022

作　　者：中国统计信息服务中心经济学家调查研究小组 Economists Survey Research Group,China Statistics Information Service Center(CSISC).National Bureau of Statistics(NBS)

机构地区：[1]不详

出　　处：《中国经济景气月报》2022年第7期I0001-I0009,共9页China Monthly Economic Indicators

摘　　要：国家统计局中国统计信息服务中心2022年6月开展的二季度中国百名经济学家信心调查结果显示,二季度经济学家信心指数为94.1,仍处临界值(100.0)以下。其中,体现经济学家对当前经济形势看法的即期指数回落大幅回落;反映经济学家对未来半年经济形势看法的预期指数回升较多且明显高于临界值。展望未来6个月,经济学家预期全球经济持续疲弱;预期我国就业压力仍然较大,消费价格(CPI)稳中有升,生产价格(PPI)趋向回落,各线城市房价走势仍将分化;预期消费需求低位改善,投资需求继续好转,货物出口基本稳定;预期利用外资形势保持平稳,国债收益率稳中有降,股票市场指数波动趋升。China Statistics Information Service Center(CSISC)of the National Bureau of Statistics(NBS)conducted a survey on the confidence of about 100 Chinese economists in June 2022.according to which,the Economists'Confidence Index(ECI)stood at 94.1,still below the threshold of 100.0.Specifically,the Cur-rent ECI,which reflects their views on the current eco-nomic situation,dropped sharply;the Expected ECI,which reflects their views on the economic prospect in the coming six months,rebounded notably and was much higher than the threshold.

关 键 词：房价走势 利用外资 信心指数 货物出口 展望未来 国债收益率 国家统计局 消费价格 

分 类 号：F83[经济管理—金融学]