基于嫦娥四号工程实践的复杂重大工程OSTA四元组方案论证方法研究  

The OSTA Four-tuples Scheme Demonstration Method of Complex and Major Projects Based on Chang’e 4 Project

作　　者：刘继忠 粟湘伟 韩啸 詹敏 唐玉华 徐选华 LIU Ji-Zhong;SU Xiang-wei;HAN Xiao;ZHAN Min;TANG Yu-hua;XU Xuan-hua(Lunar Exploration and Aerospace Engineering Center,Beijing 100190,China;Deep Space Exploration Laboratory,Hefei 230000,China;School of Frontier Crossover Studies,Hunan University of Technology and Business,Changsha 410205,China;State Key Laboratory of Data Intelligence and Smart Society(Cultivating),Changsha 410205,China;Changsha Social Laboratory of Artificial Intelligence,Changsha 410205,China;Business School,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China)

机构地区：[1]探月与航天工程中心,北京100190 [2]深空探测实验室,安徽合肥230000 [3]湖南工商大学前沿交叉学院,湖南长沙410205 [4]数据智能与智慧社会国家重点实验室(培育),湖南长沙410205 [5]长沙人工智能社会实验室,湖南长沙410205 [6]中南大学商学院,湖南长沙410083

出　　处：《工程管理科技前沿》2022年第4期9-15,共7页Frontiers of Science and Technology of Engineering Management

基　　金：中国工程院咨询项目(2021-dfjs);国家自然科学基金重大资助项目(71991460);湖南省自然科学基金资助项目(2021JJ40162);湖南省研究生科研创新资助项目(CX20211106)。

摘　　要：复杂重大工程对维护社会稳定、促进经济发展和科技进步具有重要意义。因其具有多目标、多阶段、技术复杂、决策主体众多等特征,传统的综合评价方法不足以解决复杂重大工程所面临的方案论证问题。本文基于嫦娥四号工程方案论证的成功实践,提出了一种考虑目标、阶段、技术、主体(Objective,Stage,Technology,Agent,OSTA)四元组方案论证方法,主要包括复杂重大工程四元组方案论证耦合关系框架构建及论证模型。通过拓展可为其他复杂重大工程方案论证提供决策参考。Complex and major projects have great significance to maintain the social stability,and promote economic development and scientific technological progress.Those projects have the characteristics of multi-objective,multi-stage,complex technology and many decision-making agents.The traditional comprehensive evaluation method is not enough to solve the problem of scheme demonstration faced by complex major projects.Based on the successful practice of scheme demonstration of Chang’e 4 project,this paper puts forward a four-tuples scheme demonstration method considering objective,stage,technology and agents(OSTA),which includes the framework construction of coupling relationship and demonstration model of complex and major projects.This method provides decision-making reference for the scheme demonstration of other complex and major projects.

关 键 词：嫦娥四号 复杂工程 四元组 方案论证 

分 类 号：V57[航空宇航科学与技术—航空宇航推进理论与工程]