基于饲料产量因素的畜牧业产值分析  

Analysis of Animal Husbandry Output Value Based on Feed Yield Factor

作　　者：徐惠荣 刘亚钊[1,2] Xu Huirong;Liu Yazhao(School of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Agriculture,Beijing 102206;Research Base of Beijing New Rural Construction,Beijing 102206)

机构地区：[1]北京农学院经济管理学院,北京102206 [2]北京新农村建设研究基地,北京102206

出　　处：《农业展望》2022年第4期60-65,共6页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：国家牧草产业技术体系项目(CARS-34)。

摘　　要：饲料工业是连接种养的重要产业,也是现代畜牧业的物质支撑,适当增加饲料产量将会保障畜牧业快速发展。采用2019年中国31个省份畜牧业分项产值数据(未包括港澳台数据),运用因子分析法得出猪禽饲养产值与牛羊饲养产值两个公因子与最显著省份,再采用系统聚类方法得出4个聚类与最显著省份。其中,山东省的猪禽饲养产值与内蒙古的牛羊饲养产值最高,两种分析方法结果重合的最显著省份是山东、河北、四川、黑龙江与内蒙古。通过饲料产量分析得出,家禽与猪饲料产量促进猪禽饲养产值大幅增加,反刍动物饲料产量促进牛羊饲养产值缓慢增加。基于此,为了保障畜牧业良好发展,应适当增加牛羊饲料产量,稳定猪禽饲料产量。The feed industry is an important industry linking planting and breeding,and it is also the material support of modern animal husbandry,and an appropriate increase in feed production will guarantee the rapid development of animal husbandry.Using the data of livestock production value of 31 provinces in China in 2019(excluding data from Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan),and using factor analysis to obtain two common factors and the most significant provinces for pig and poultry feeding output value and cattle and sheep feeding output value,and then using systematic clustering theory to obtain four clusters and the most significant provinces.Among them,the pig and poultry feeding output value in Shandong province and the cattle and sheep feeding output value in Inner Mongolia are the highest,and the most significant provinces where the two theoretical results overlap are Shandong,Hebei,Sichuan,Heilongjiang and Inner Mongolia.Through the analysis of feed production,it was concluded that poultry and pig feed production promote a significant increase in pig and poultry feeding output value,and ruminant feed production promotes a slow increase in cattle and sheep feeding output value.Based on this,in order to ensure the sound development of animal husbandry,the output of cattle and sheep feed should be appropriately increased,and the output of pig and poultry feed should be stabilized.

关 键 词：因子分析 系统聚类 牛羊饲养产值 猪禽饲养产值 饲料产量 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济] F324.6