跨太平洋航线运费走势前瞻  

About trans-Pacific freight trend

作　　者：Bill Mongelluzzo Mark Szakonyi 陶润元(编译) 

机构地区：[1]不详

出　　处：《中国远洋海运》2022年第7期62-63,10,共3页Maritime China

摘　　要：未来两个月,我们将看到美国进口商到底撤回多少来自亚洲的订单,以及随着一些航线舱位的减少,班轮公司可以在多大程度上调整运力。有货代预计,未来几周集运市场的即期运价将上涨,预期中的旺季将提前从6月底开始影响货量。但目前尚不清楚运费上涨的幅度和旺季持续的时间,因为一些货运公司正在撤回甚至取消订单,而另一些公司则在提前出运。The coming two months will reveal just how much US importers are pulling back on orders from Asia,and the degree to which container lines can adjust capacity as easing vessel space on some trades pulls down spot rates.Forwarders say they expect a bump in spot rates in the coming weeks when an anticipated early peak season ripples into the trade beginning in late June.But the scale of the rate increase and length of the peak season are unclear,as some shippers are pulling back or even canceling orders,while others are front-loading cargo.However,the number of orders for Asian imports to the US and Canada has been steadily rising since February and into May.The number of orders in May jumped to nearly 150,000,the highest monthly volume of new orders since November 2021,according to Infor Nexus,a global network platform for direct procurement,origin order management,multimodal freight management,and trade finance services.The spot rate from Shanghai to Los Angeles at the beginning of June was $8,704 per FEU,basically unchanged from the previous two weeks but 46 percent higher than June 2021,according to the Drewry World Container Index.The spot rate from Shanghai to New York at the same time was$10,871 per FEU,also flat with the previous two weeks but up 44 percent from a year ago.

关 键 词：班轮公司 货代 货运公司 运费 进口商 货量 走势 即期运价 

分 类 号：F55[经济管理—产业经济]