我军战斗减员预计模型研究现状及思考  

The present situation and thinking of the combat casualty prediction model of the PLA

作　　者：杨奇 贺祯 鲁兆楠 房彤宇 Yang Qi;He Zhen;Lu Zhaonan;Fang Tongyu(The First Institute,Academy of Military Medicine Sciences,Beijing 100850,China)

机构地区：[1]军事科学院军事医学研究院一所,北京100850 [2]军事科学院军事医学研究院

出　　处：《海军医学杂志》2022年第6期658-660,共3页Journal of Navy Medicine

摘　　要：我军历来重视战斗减员预计的研究,构建了集团军山地进攻作战减员预计模型、城市进攻战斗减员模拟预计模型等经典模型,但是相比外军尤其是美军仍然存在差距。笔者着眼现代战争特点,结合当前我军的主要战斗减员预计模型,从影响因素、数据挖掘、模型构建等方面分析我军战斗减员预计存在的难点并提出对策建议,以期为后续战斗减员预计相关研究提供参考依据。People’s Liberation Army of China(PLA)has always attached great importance to the research of combat casualty prediction,and has developed classic models such as“the mountain offensive operation attrition prediction model of Army group”and“the urban offensive battle attrition simulation prediction model.However,there is still a gap compared with foreign army,especially the US Army.Focusing on the characteristics of modern war,combining with the main combat casualty prediction models of PLA at present,we analyzed the problems existing in the combat casualty prediction of PLA from the aspects of the influencing factors,data mining and model construction,and put forward countermeasures and suggestions,so as to provide reference for the subsequent re⁃search on combat casualty prediction.

关 键 词：战斗减员预计 数据挖掘 模型构建 

分 类 号：E238[军事—军事理论]