转移还是转型?环境政策不确定性与污染密集型企业环保决策  

Transfer or Transformation?Environmental Policy Uncertainty and Environmental Protection Decision on Pollution Intensive Enterprises

作　　者：王慧[1,2] 孙慧[1,2] 肖涵月[1,2] 辛龙 WANG Hui;SUN Hui;XIAO Hanyue;XIN Long(Center for Innovation of Management Research of Xinjiang,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830046,China;College of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830046,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学新疆创新管理研究中心,新疆乌鲁木齐830046 [2]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830046

出　　处：《生态经济》2022年第9期203-211,共9页Ecological Economy

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目“新疆资源型产业污染集聚、损益偏离与包容性绿色增长”(71963030);第三次新疆综合科学考察项目“吐哈盆地清洁能源考察和能源矿产开发的生态环境评估”子课题5“吐哈盆地国家能源基地建设调查与碳减排潜力评估”(SQ2021xjkk01800);新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学基金项目“碳中和背景下新疆新能源发展路径研究”(21BJY050);新疆维吾尔自治区研究生科研创新项目“碳排放集聚、污染集聚的损益效应及协同治理研究”(XJ2021G010)。

摘　　要：宏观环境政策不确定性何以影响污染密集型企业环保决策?基于2010—2017年A股污染密集型上市公司相关数据,分别采用零膨胀负二项模型与面板回归模型检验了环境政策不确定性与污染企业转移、绿色转型间的关系。研究发现:(1)环境政策不确定性均会显著提升污染密集型企业转移与绿色转型水平,对绿色转型的促进效应更强;(2)污染转移会进一步提高企业绿色转型,发挥完全中介作用;(3)高污染高技术企业、高污染低技术企业、低污染低技术企业面对环境政策不确定性的环保决策依次为:主动转型、在转移中转型、不转移仅转型;(4)环境政策不确定性对污染转移、绿色转型的正向作用在企业性质、环境规制、区域分布中表现为差异化选择效应。How does macro environmental policy uncertainty affect the environmental protection decision-making of pollution intensive enterprises?Based on the relevant data of pollution intensive listed companies from 2010 to 2017,the zero inflation negative binomial model and panel regression model are used to test respectively the relationship between environmental policy uncertainty and pollution transfer as well as green transformation.The research results show that:(1)Environmental policy uncertainty can significantly improve the level of pollution intensive enterprise transfer and green transformation,and the promotion effect on green transformation is significantly higher;(2)Pollution transfer can further improve the green transformation of enterprises,and play a full intermediary role;(3)The environmental protection decisions of high pollution high-tech enterprises,high pollution low-tech enterprises and low pollution low-tech enterprises in the face of environmental policy uncertainty are active transformation,transformation in transfer,transformation without transfer;(4)Environmental policy uncertainty’s positive effects on pollution transfer as well as green transformation show differential selection effects among enterprise property,environmental regulation and regional distribution.

关 键 词：污染转移 绿色转型 环境政策不确定性 污染密集型企业 

分 类 号：X5[环境科学与工程—环境工程] X196