基于高质量供需平衡的区域水资源优化调控方案——以京津冀地区为例  

Optimal regulation schemes of regional water resources in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on high-quality supply and demand balance

作　　者：肖雪[1,2] 李清清[1,2] 陈述 XIAO Xue;LI Qingqing;CHEN Shu(Water Resources Department,Changjiang River Scientific Research Institute,Wuhan 430010,China;Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Resources&Eco-environmental Sciences,Wuhan 430010,China)

机构地区：[1]长江科学院水资源综合利用研究所,湖北武汉430010 [2]长江科学院流域水资源与生态环境科学湖北省重点实验室,湖北武汉430010

出　　处：《人民长江》2022年第8期100-105,共6页Yangtze River

基　　金：江西省水利厅科技项目(202124ZDKT20);国家自然科学基金联合基金项目(U2040212)。

摘　　要：针对水资源刚性约束要求下区域水资源的配置和调控,根据水资源需求侧的分类需求特性和供给侧的水源结构特征,基于水资源高质量供需平衡理念,分别提出了供需两侧优化配置和调控方案。以京津冀地区为研究对象,通过设置不同水平年的多种供需双向调控情景,开展区域水资源供需分析;基于分析结果,制定了可持续发展的水资源高质量供需平衡方案,并提出了京津冀地区实现高质量供需平衡的调控措施。研究结果表明:①现状情景下,京津冀地区的水资源供需不平衡形势较为严峻,缺水率较高;②建议在规划水平年通过强化节水、调整产业结构、增加调水等措施,逐步对水资源供需进行优化调控,可使京津冀地区的缺水率逐渐减少,由供需矛盾较大逐渐实现基本平衡,直至达到高质量平衡。研究成果具有一定的现实意义。Aiming at the allocation and regulation of regional water resources under the rigid constraint of water resources,according to the classified demand characteristics at water resources supply side and the water source structure characteristics at supply side,based on the concept of high-quality supply and demand balance of water resources,an optimal allocation and regulation schemes were proposed from both sides of supply and demand.Taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(Jing-Jin-Ji)region as the research area,regional water supply and demand were analyzed by setting up multiple bidirectional regulation scenarios in different level years.Then the schemes of high-quality supply and demand balance of water resources for sustainable development were formulated,and measures for achieving high-quality balance in the Jing-Jin-Ji region were proposed.The research results show that the imbalance between supply and demand of water resources in Jing-Jin-Ji region is serious under current situation,and the water shortage rate is relatively high.It is suggested to gradually optimize and control the supply and demand of water resources through optimal regulation measures such as strengthening water saving,adjusting industrial structure,increasing the amount of water diversion in the planning level year,so that the water shortage in the Jing-Jin-Ji region can be gradually improved.The large contradictions of supply and demand can gradually be transformed basic balance and even high-quality balance.

关 键 词：水资源配置 高质量供需平衡 优化调控 缺水率 

分 类 号：TV213[水利工程—水文学及水资源]