中小学校园拥挤踩踏事故致因机理探究  

Research on the Cause Mechanism of Crowded Stampede Accidents in Primary and Middle Schools

作　　者：姚健庭 雷达晨 董秉聿 郭海涛 YAO Jianting;LEI Dachen;DONG Bingyu;GUO Haitao(School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering,China University of Mining and Technology-Beijing,Beijing 100083,China;Zhengzhou Xuean Network Co.,Ltd.,Zhengzhou Henan 450000,China)

机构地区：[1]中国矿业大学(北京)应急管理与安全工程学院,北京100083 [2]郑州学安网络科技有限公司,河南郑州450000

出　　处：《安全》2022年第8期40-45,共6页Safety & Security

基　　金：教育部2021年第二批产学合作协同育人项目(202102506001、202102506002、202102506005)。

摘　　要：为预防校园拥挤踩踏事故,同时进行校园安全事故致因推理和情景演化分析,本文利用事故致因“2-4”模型和情景演化理论,构建中小学校园拥挤踩踏事故致因分析模型,并运用该模型对某校园拥挤踩踏事故进行分析,还原事故发展全过程,针对性提出“情景—应对”和“事故—预防”的事故双重干预对策。结果表明:该模型能够为校园拥挤踩踏事故开展原因调查提供新的思路,同时可供学校对拥挤踩踏事故开展情景推演与针对性安全教育培训工作。In order to prevent crowded stampede accidents in the schoolyard and analyze the cause mechanism and scenario evolution of safety accidents,in this paper,the24Model and scenario evolution theory were used to construct the cause analysis model for the schoolyard crowded stampede accident in the primary and middle school. The cause analysis model was applied to analyze a crowded stampede accident in a school and reconstruct the accident course. The doble interference countermeasures,scenario-response and accident-prevention,were put forward. The results show that the model can provide new ideas for investigating causes of crowded stampede accidents in the school,and can also provide scenario deduction and targeted safety education and training for crowded stampede accidents.

关 键 词：拥挤踩踏事故 中小学校园安全 事故致因 情景演化 事故预防 “2-4”模型 

分 类 号：X925[环境科学与工程—安全科学]