物流业集聚、空间溢出效应与农业绿色全要素生产率——基于省域数据的实证分析  

Logistics Industry Aggregation,Space Spillover Effects,and Agricultural Green Total Factor Productivity——Based on Empirical Analysis of the Provincial Data

作　　者：鄢曹政 殷旅江[1] 何波[1] YAN Cao-zheng;YIN Lv-jiang;HE Bo(School of Economics and Management,Hubei University of Automotive Technology,Shiyan 442002,Hubei,China;College of Engineering,Kyungpook National University,Daehak-ro 80 Buk-gu 41566,Daegu,Republic of Korea)

机构地区：[1]湖北汽车工业学院经济管理学院,湖北十堰442002 [2]韩国国立庆北大学工程学院,韩国大邱41566

出　　处：《中国流通经济》2022年第9期3-16,共14页China Business and Market

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目“我国制造实现‘低碳与减霾’运行的软性途径研究”(17BGL238);湖北汽车工业学院博士科研启动基金项目“十堰市医疗废物综合治理现状及对策的研究”(BK202012)。

摘　　要：基于我国31个省(自治区、直辖市)2016—2020年面板数据,探析物流业集聚对我国农业绿色全要素生产率的影响机制,利用区位熵法和DEA-Malmquist模型对物流业集聚水平和农业绿色全要素生产率进行测算;根据探索性空间数据分析方法对二者进行空间相关性检验,揭示其空间演化特征;通过空间杜宾模型分析物流业集聚对农业绿色全要素生产率的空间溢出效应。研究表明:在样本考察期内,我国物流业集聚水平不高,地区间存在显著空间正相关性;农业绿色全要素生产率平稳增长,全局空间相关性较弱,地区之间存在显著局部空间相关性且呈现出随时间变化加强的趋势;从区域层面来看,我国物流业集聚水平与农业绿色全要素生产率增幅并不完全符合;物流业集聚对当地农业绿色全要素生产率具有明显促进作用,对邻近地区具有正向空间溢出效应;城镇化率、财政支农水平、农业机械化程度对农业绿色全要素生产率具有正向影响,而工业化水平、开放程度、自然灾害对农业绿色全要素生产率具有抑制作用。为此,结合我国实际情况,应从构建物流集聚高地、促进物流省际交流等方面发挥物流业集聚及空间溢出效应,提升农业技术效率,促进两业协同、绿色、健康发展。The influence mechanism of logistics industry agglomeration on agricultural green total factor productivity in China is analyzed based on the panel data from 2016 to 2020 in 31 provinces and cities in China;the location entropy method and DEA-Malmquist model are used to calculate the logistics industry agglomeration degree and agricultural green total factor productivity;the exploring spatial data analysis methods is used to reveal their spatial evolution characteristics;and through the spatial measurement model test,the spatial Dubin model is constructed to effectively analyze the spatial spillover effect of logistics industry agglomeration on agricultural green total factor productivity. It is found that:the overall agglomeration level of the logistics industry in China is not high during the sample investigation period,and there is a significant spatial positive correlation between regions;agricultural green total factor productivity is growing steadily,although the overall spatial correlation is weak,there is a significant local spatial correlation between regions,and there is a trend of strengthening with the time change;the agglomeration level of China’s logistics industry at the regional level is not completely consistent with the growth rate of agricultural green total factor productivity;logistics industry agglomeration significantly promotes the local agricultural green total factor productivity and has a positive space spillover effect on the adjacent areas;and the urbanization rate,the level of financial support for agriculture and the degree of agricultural mechanization have a positive impact on agricultural green total factor productivity,meanwhile,the level of industrialization,openness and natural disasters have an inhibitory effect on agricultural green total factor productivity. In light of the actual situation in China,we should build a logistics agglomeration highland and promote inter-provincial logistics exchange to give play to the role of logistics agglomeration and space spillover effe

关 键 词：物流业集聚 农业绿色全要素生产率 DEA-Malmquist模型 空间杜宾模型 空间溢出效应 

分 类 号：F323[经济管理—产业经济] F127