油气企业最优勘探投资规模综合确定方法  

Comprehensive Determination Method of Optimal ExplorationInvestment Scale for Oil and Gas Enterprises

作　　者：姜振强[1] 孟新 Jiang Zhenqiang;Meng Xin(SINOPEC Petroleum Exploration and Development Research Institute,Beijing 102206)

机构地区：[1]中国石化石油勘探开发研究院,北京102206

出　　处：《石油化工技术与经济》2022年第4期9-12,共4页Technology & Economics in Petrochemicals

基　　金：国家自然科学基金“碳排放约束下化石能源生产补贴退出机制研究”项目资助(编号:71804187)。

摘　　要：勘探投资对企业效益有双重影响,规模过高会增加费用、增大当期效益压力;规模过低又不能及时发现足够储量,影响未来生产的资源基础。因此其投资决策应是当前与长远的综合平衡。根据勘探投资的双重作用,采用定量的综合评价方法,将勘探投资对企业盈利能力、资源禀赋的双重影响进行量化,实现勘探投资效果的综合量化评估。在此基础上,通过不同勘探投资规模下勘探投资效果综合评估结果的对比,优选出最优勘探投资规模,其结果可为油公司年度勘探投资规模的确定提供重要的参考依据。The investment in exploration has dual effects on the profit of an enterprise,as large scale may highly increase the pressure of profit in current period,and low scale may result in insufficient discovery of reserves and affect the resource base of future production.Therefore,the investment decision should be a comprehensive issue of balancing current and long-term production.Based on the dual role of exploration investment,a quantitative comprehensive evaluation method is used to quantify the dual effects of exploration investment on enterprise profitability and resource endowment,so as to achieve a comprehensive quantitative evaluation of the effect of exploration investment.By comparing the comprehensive evaluation results of exploration investment effects,the optimal exploration investment scale can be determined,and the results can provide an important reference for determination of the annual exploration investment scale of oil companies.

关 键 词：勘探投资 最优投资规模 储量资源 投资效果 综合评价 

分 类 号：TE11[石油与天然气工程—油气勘探]