中国国际经济中的碳转移--基于总量、强度及影响因子的实证研究  

Carbon Transfer in China's International Economy--An empirical study on total amount,intensity and influencing factors

作　　者：陈曦 CHEN Xi(Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation,Ministry of Commerce of the People's Republic of China,Beijing 100710,China)

机构地区：[1]商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院,北京100710

出　　处：《扬州大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2022年第4期13-29,共17页Journal of Yangzhou University(Humanities and Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：能源基金会“中国低碳发展转型战略及路径”子课题“全球化背景下国际贸易和产业转移对我国低碳发展的影响及对策”(G-1810-28699)。

摘　　要：中国国际经济活动中直接碳排放量主要来自国际产业转移,隐含碳排放量受国际贸易和产业转移影响相对均衡,国际产业转移是中国国际经济直接碳排放强度高企的主要因素,而国际贸易则在历史时期一度显著降低中国国际经济隐含碳排放强度。当前中国国际经济碳排放量已趋于平稳,其隐含碳排放强度已趋近于中国总体碳排放强度。本研究从宏观、中观、微观三个层面构建了国际贸易和产业转移对碳排放影响和碳排放对国际贸易和产业转移反制影响的双向机制理论模型,基于国际与总量视角、国家与结构视角、个体与技术视角详细探讨了各类影响因素,并以中国国际经济循环隐含碳排放水平为因变量,选取代表宏观、中观、微观三个层面的典型数据为自变量,建立计量模型对影响机制进行实证研究。China's direct carbon emissions in international economic activities mainly come from international industrial transfer,and the implied carbon emissions are relatively balanced by international trade and industrial transfer.International industrial transfer is the main factor for the high direct carbon emission intensity of China's international economy.International trade has significantly reduced the implied carbon emission intensity of China's international economy in the historical period.China's international economic carbon emission has stabilized,and its implied carbon emission intensity has approached China's overall carbon emission intensity.A theoretical model composed of a two-way mechanism is constructed to show the impact of international trade and industrial transfer on carbon emissions and the reaction of carbon emissions on international trade and industrial transfer at the macro-,meso-and micro-level.Various influencing factors are discussed in detail based on the international and aggregate perspective,the national and structural perspective,and the individual and technology perspective.Besides,taking the implied carbon emission level of China's international economic cycle as the dependent variable and selecting the typical data representing the macro-,meso-and micro-levels as the independent variable,an econometric model is established to empirically verify the impact mechanism.

关 键 词：国际经济 国际贸易 跨国直接投资 碳排放 碳转移 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]