基于忠诚度和向往度解决合肥市房地产租赁市场错配问题  

On the Mismatch Problem of Hefei Real Estate Leasing Market Based on Regional Loyalty and Regional Yearning Degree

作　　者：张林松 朱德开 ZHANG Lin-song;ZHU De-kai(Real Estate Institute,Hefei University,Hefei 230601,China)

机构地区：[1]合肥学院房地产研究所,合肥230601

出　　处：《合肥学院学报（综合版）》2022年第4期57-62,共6页Journal of Hefei University：Comprehensive ED

基　　金：2020年度合肥市政府重大招标项目“合肥市房地产市场运行监测服务”“合肥市住房租赁市场基础性研究及发展规划编制”资助。

摘　　要：中国目前住房制度遵循多主体供给、多渠道保障、租购并举,其中城市租赁住房市场有待于精细化规划。基于ARMA模型,通过区域忠诚度和区域向往度构建的区域租房需求匹配模型,结合合肥市住房现状及需求状况,解决了合肥市未来新增市民租房需求与供给错配问题。即未来3年可租赁住房数量缺口为11.96万套,主要集中在蜀山区、包河区和庐阳区,以新建或配建租赁住房为主,其他区域以盘活存量住房为主。Chinese current housing system follows multi-subject supply,multi-channel security,and simultaneous rent and purchase,for which the urban rental housing market needs to be carefully planned.Based on the ARMA model,the regional rental demand matching model constructed by regional loyalty and regional yearning degree,combined with the current housing situation and demand in Hefei City,will solve the problem of mismatch between demand and supply of new rentals in Hefei.That is to say,the gap in the number of rentable houses in the next three years will be 119,600 units,mainly in Shushan,Baohe and Luyang District,and other areas will focus on revitalizing the stock housing.

关 键 词：错配问题 租赁市场 忠诚度 向往度 

分 类 号：D299.23[政治法律—政治学]