FDI是否促进了产业结构优化调整?——基于质量和数量双重视角的理论分析与实证检验  

Does FDI Promote the Optimization and Adjustment of the Industrial Structure?——Theoretical Analysis and Empirical Test Based on the Dual Perspectives of Quality and Quantity

作　　者：程钦良 宋彦玲 刘明 CHENG Qin-liang;SONG Yan-ling;LIU Ming(Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学统计学院,兰州730020

出　　处：《上海对外经贸大学学报》2022年第5期23-37,共15页Journal of Shanghai University of International Business and Economics

基　　金：国家社科基金项目“制造业高质量发展驱动力的统计测度与路径提升研究”(项目编号:21BTJ006)资助。

摘　　要：外商直接投资(FDI)是我国产业结构升级的重要外部力量。本文将FDI质量和数量参数化,纳入同一理论框架,建立非均衡增长模型,分析FDI质量和数量影响产业结构调整的内在机制,并在此基础上构建动态面板模型进行实证检验。研究表明,FDI质量的提升对产业结构的优化调整作用积极,且存在FDI质量促进区域技术水平提升,进一步推动产业结构升级的内在机制。FDI数量对产业结构的调整存在非线性效应,仅当FDI数量规模达到一定程度时,FDI数量增加才有助于对产业结构的优化调整,其内在机制在于FDI数量增加可提升非农产业生产投资水平,促进产业结构升级;同时,单纯的FDI数量增加会抑制非农业部门技术水平提升,阻碍产业结构优化调整,只有数量增加提升投资水平的促进作用大于数量增加对技术水平的抑制作用时,FDI数量的增加才能表现为推动产业结构调整。Foreign direct investment(FDI) is an important external force for the upgrading of China’s industrial structure. In this paper, the quality and quantity of FDI are parameterized, incorporated into the same theoretical framework, and the unbalanced growth model is established. The internal mechanism of the impact of the quality and quantity of FDI on the adjustment of industrial structure is analyzed. On this basis, a dynamic panel model is constructed to conduct an empirical test. The research shows that the improvement of FDI quality has a positive effect on the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure, and there is an internal mechanism for FDI quality to promote the improvement of regional technology level and further promote the upgrading of industrial structure. There is a nonlinear effect of the amount of FDI on the adjustment of industrial structure. Only when the amount of FDI reaches a certain level, can FDI’s amount increasing contribute to the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure. The internal mechanism is that the increase of the amount of FDI can improve the production and investment level of non-agricultural industries and promote the upgrading of industrial structure. At the same time, the pure increase in the amount of FDI will inhibit the improvement of the technical level of non-agricultural industries and hinder the optimization and adjustment of industrial structure. Only when the promoting effect of the increase in the amount of FDI on the investment level is greater than the inhibiting effect on the technical level, can the increase in the amount of FDI be manifested as the promotion for the adjustment of industrial structure.

关 键 词：FDI 产业结构 FDI质量 双重视角 非线性效应 

分 类 号：F429.9[经济管理—产业经济] F832.48