交通基础设施门槛下旅游业与区域经济联动发展的实证分析——以关中城市群为例  

Empirical analysis of the interconnected development between tourism and regional economy based on the threshold of transportation infrastructure:the case study of Guanzhong urban agglomeration

作　　者：樊建强[1] 韩凌云 王超[1] FAN Jianqiang;HAN Lingyun;WANG Chao(School of Economics and Management,Chang’an University,Xi’an 710119,China)

机构地区：[1]长安大学经济与管理学院,陕西西安710119

出　　处：《西安理工大学学报》2022年第2期194-200,共7页Journal of Xi'an University of Technology

基　　金：陕西省软科学研究计划资助项目(2020KRM129);国家社会科学基金资助项目(20BJY179);中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(300102231666),陕西省哲学社会科学重大理论与现实问题研究资助项目(2021ND0447);陕西省教育厅青年创新团队建设科研计划资助项目(21JP005)。

摘　　要：为研究交通基础设施门槛效应下关中城市群旅游业对区域经济的影响关系,本文基于2006—2019年关中城市群十个城市的面板数据,运用门槛回归模型检验交通基础设施固定投资和公路密度为门槛变量下旅游业对区域经济的影响。结果表明:①以交通基础设施固定投资作为门槛变量,旅游业对区域经济发展呈正向非线性的“扇贝弧形”影响,门槛值2.84是旅游业对区域经济影响的拐点;②以公路密度作为门槛变量,旅游业对区域经济发展呈现出正向非单调的双重门槛特征,近似呈“阶梯状”;③目前,关中城市群中大部分城市已跨越门槛值,旅游发展对区域经济的促进作用逐步减缓,运输整合优化成为新的发展方向。In order to study the impact of tourism on regional economy under the development of transportation infrastructure in Guanzhong urban agglomeration,based on the panel data from 10 cities in Guanzhong urban agglomeration from 2006 to 2019,the paper establishes a threshold regression model with traffic fixed asset investment and road construction investment as the threshold values.The results show:①Taking fixed transportation investment as the threshold variable,tourism has a positive nonlinear“scallop arc”influence on regional economic development,and that the threshold value is 2.84;②Taking highway construction as the threshold variable,tourism presents a positive non-monotonic double threshold feature to regional economic development,which is approximately“ladder”;③At present,most cities have crossed the threshold value,and the promotion effect of tourism development on regional economy has gradually slowed down.The inte gration and optimization of transportation has become a new development direction.

关 键 词：旅游经济 门槛效应 交旅融合 路衍经济 关中城市群 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理] F572.88[经济管理—产业经济]