京津冀地区水-经济-生态耦合协调发展特征评价  

Evaluation of coupling coordinated development characteristics of water-economy-ecology system in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region

作　　者：王富强[1,2] 应卓晖 吕素冰 赵衡[1,2] WANG Fuqiang;YING Zhuohui;LYU Subing;ZHAO Heng(College of Water Resources,North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Zhengzhou 450046,China;Key Laboratory of Conservation and Intensive Utilization of Water Resources in the Yellow River Basin of Henan Province,Zhengzhou 450046,China)

机构地区：[1]华北水利水电大学水资源学院,河南郑州450046 [2]河南省黄河流域水资源节约集约利用重点实验室,河南郑州450046

出　　处：《水资源保护》2022年第5期80-86,共7页Water Resources Protection

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51879106);中原科技创新领军人才计划(214200510001);河南省高校科技创新团队支持计划(20IRTSTHN010);郑州市软科学研究计划重点(重大)项目(2020RKXF0090)。

摘　　要：运用耦合协调度模型评价了2006—2019年京津冀地区水资源-经济社会-生态环境的耦合协调发展状态,并利用灰色关联法分析了影响京津冀地区耦合协调发展的主要因素。结果表明:2006—2019年京津冀地区水资源-经济社会-生态环境耦合协调发展水平总体呈上升趋势;京津冀地区和北京水资源系统持续滞后,天津水资源和生态环境系统交互滞后,河北处于经济社会系统滞后的状态;北京始终处于耦合协调发展最好水平,天津其次,河北耦合协调发展缓慢;水资源总量和地下水储变量是影响京津冀地区耦合协调度最重要的因素,人口变化情况次之。The coupling coordination degree model was used to evaluate and analyze water resources-economic society-eco-environment coupling coordinated development state in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2006 to 2019,and the grey correlation analysis method was used to identify the relevant factors that affecting the coupling coordination degree.The results indicate that the water resources-economic society-eco-environment coupling coordination degree in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region was on the rise from 2006 to 2019;the water resources system in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and Beijing continued to lag behind,the water resources and eco-environment systems in Tianjin lagged behind alternatively,and the economic society system in Hebei was in the backward state;Beijing was always at the highest level of coupling coordinated development,followed by Tianjin,and Hebei was relatively slow in coupling coordinated development;the gross amount of water resources and the groundwater storage variation were the most important factors affecting the coupling coordination degree in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region,followed by the change of population.

关 键 词：京津冀地区 水-经济-生态系统 耦合协调发展 水资源 生态环境 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]