当代世界男篮档次分类及其比赛制胜指标特点——基于2019年男篮世界杯赛事指标的研究  

Classification of Grades of Contemporary World Men’s Basketball Team and Characteristics of Its Winning Indexes

作　　者：杨辉[1] 侯佳伶 卢政 向良雄 YANG Hui;HOU Jialing;LU Zheng(School of PE,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing,400067,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学体育学院,重庆400067

出　　处：《四川体育科学》2022年第5期73-78,共6页Sichuan Sports Science

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(16BTY086);重庆市“十二五”教育科学规划重点课题(2014-GX-008)。

摘　　要：主要运用Q型聚类和逐步回归两种分析方法,对2019年男篮世界杯32支参赛队伍整个赛程的92场比赛的赛事指标进行分析与研究,探析当今世界男篮实力的格局和世界高水平篮球比赛的核心制胜因素。研究发现:可以将当今世界男篮实力分为4档,以美国、西班牙、阿根廷和澳大利亚为首的四支男篮国家队居于第1档,而法国、塞尔维亚等8支队伍居于第2档,波兰、委内瑞拉等8支队伍居于第3档,尼日利亚、中国等12支队伍处于第4档。影响当代世界高水平篮球比赛胜负和排名结果的核心指标包括篮板、助攻、失误等11项技术指标,而对比赛结果影响最大的3个核心指标为投篮命中率、后场篮板和助攻3项指标。By using the methods of the Q-type cluster and Stepwise regression, the paper analyzes the competition index of men’s Basketball World Cup in 2019. The results show that: the strength of men’s basketball in today’s world can be divided into four levels, with four national teams headed by the United States, Spain, Argentina and Australia in the first level, while eight teams such as France and Serbia in the second level, eight teams such as Poland and Venezuela in the third level, and 12 teams such as Nigeria and China in the fourth level. The core indexes that affect the results of the world’s high-level basketball games include 11 technical indexes, such as rebounds, assists, errors,and so on. The indexes that have the greatest impact on the results of the game are mainly reflected in the shooting percentage, backcourt rebounds and assists.

关 键 词：2019年男篮世界杯 世界男篮格局 制胜特点 赛事指标 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]