合肥都市圈旅游经济系统脆弱性研究  

Study on the Vulnerability of Tourism Economic System in Hefei Metropolitan Area

作　　者：陆菊[1] 周长晓 Lu Ju;Zhou Changxiao(School of International Tourism,Anhui International Studies University,Hefei 230000,China;School of Humanities and Tourism,Rizhao Vocational technical College,Rizhao 276800,China)

机构地区：[1]安徽外国语学院国际旅游学院,安徽合肥230000 [2]日照职业技术学院人文与旅游学院,山东日照276800

出　　处：《黄山学院学报》2022年第4期50-55,共6页Journal of Huangshan University

基　　金：安徽省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目(SK2020A0640,SK2019A0772);安徽外国语学院校级科研团队(awkytd1803)。

摘　　要：以合肥都市圈为研究对象,选取集对分析法和障碍度模型,评价和分析2010—2019年合肥都市圈旅游经济系统脆弱性的时空格局变化和应对能力提升的第一障碍因素。结果表明:10年间,合肥都市圈旅游经济系统脆弱性的均值呈现波动性下降态势;从空间分布来看,8个市(县)旅游经济系统脆弱性存在空间差异,但差距逐渐缩小,具体表现在地区的标准差和变异系数值整体上减少;产业结构多样化指数、第三产业占GDP比重和城镇居民可自由支配收入是制约合肥都市圈旅游经济系统应对能力提升的主要因素。Taking Hefei metropolitan area as the research object,the set pair analysis method and obstacle degree model are selected to evaluate and analyze the change of temporal and spatial pattern of the vulnerability of tourism economic system and the first obstacle factor to improve coping ability in Hefei metropolitan area from 2010 to 2019.The results show that the average vulnerability index of tourism economic system in Hefei metropolitan area shows a downward trend of volatility in the past 10 years.From the perspective of spatial distribution,there are spatial differences in the vulnerability of tourism economic system in 8 cities(counties),but the gap is gradually narrowing,which is reflected in the overall reduction of regional standard deviation and coefficient of variation.The diversification index of industrial structure,the proportion of tertiary industry in GDP and the discretionary income of urban residents are the main factors restricting the improvement of the coping ability of the tourism economic system in Hefei metropolitan area.

关 键 词：旅游经济系统 脆弱性评价 集对分析 障碍度评估 合肥都市圈 

分 类 号：F592.7[经济管理—旅游管理]