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作 者:张荣佳 付琳 孙晓华[2] Zhang Rongjia;Fu Lin;Sun Xiaohua
机构地区:[1]上海商学院商务经济学院 [2]大连理工大学经济管理学院
出 处:《宏观经济研究》2022年第7期88-104,119,共18页Macroeconomics
基 金:国家社会科学基金一般项目“劳动力与产业‘双转移刚性’下的内生型城镇化模式研究”(17BJY046)的资助。
摘 要:丰富的自然资源是经济发展的重要物质基础,也会带来“资源诅咒”问题,而良好的区位条件有利于生产要素的自由流动,是资源型城市产业转型不可忽视的因素。与现有研究不同,本文创新性地从地理区位和经济区位两个维度讨论了区位因素影响资源型城市产业转型的理论机制,利用2003—2019年中国113个资源型城市的面板数据,实证检验了区位因素对于资源型城市制造化和服务化转型的影响。结果发现:资源型城市存在“资源诅咒”现象,过度依赖资源的确会阻碍人均GDP提高;重要港口和铁路干线带来的地理区位优势,有利于资源型城市的制造化转型而不利于服务化转型;经济区位方面,本地市场规模能够促进制造业发展,对服务业存在阻碍作用,邻近中心城市产生的虹吸效应大于扩散效应,会抑制资源型城市的制造化和服务化转型;中介效应检验表明,制造化转型会降低经济增长速度,只有向服务化转型才能够驱动资源型城市经济快速发展。While abundant natural resources are an important material basis for economic development, they also bring the problem of the ‘resource curse’. But good location conditions facilitate the free flow of production factors, which cannot be ignored in the industrial transformation of resource-based cities. Unlike existing studies, this paper innovatively discusses the theoretical mechanism of location factors influencing the industrial transformation of resource-based cities from two dimensions: geographical location and economic location. Using a panel data of 113 resource-based cities in China over the period of 2003-2019, this paper empirically tests the effect of location factors on the manufacturing and service transformation of resource-based cities. The results show that: resource-based cities have the phenomenon of the ‘resource curse’, and over-dependence on resources does hinder the increase of per capita GDP;the geographical location advantages brought by important ports and main railway lines are beneficial to the manufacturing transformation of resource-based cities but not beneficial to the service transformation;in terms of economic location, the size of the local market can promote the development of the manufacturing industry, but has a hindering effect on the service industry. The siphoning effect generated by the adjacent central cities is greater than the diffusion effect, which will inhibit the manufacturing and service transformation of resource-based cities;the intermediary effect test shows that manufacturing transformation will reduce the economic growth rate, and only service transformation can drive the rapid economic development of resource-based cities.
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