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作 者:赵文哲[1] WENZHE ZHAO(School of Economics,Central University of Finance and Economics)
机构地区:[1]中央财经大学经济学院
出 处:《工信财经科技》2022年第4期5-19,共15页Review of Financial & Technological Economics
基 金:工业和信息化部党的政治建设研究中心2021年重大课题《中国共产党领导中国工业百年发展史研究》的阶段性成果,课题编号:GXZY2105。
摘 要:本文主要分析了中国经济增长背后的动力及其转换机制。改革开放的四十年来,我国经济增长主要依靠低成本劳动力发展劳动密集型产业和高储蓄高投资来驱动。随着2008年金融危机的冲击以及“人口红利”的逐渐消失,劳动力成本逐渐升高、投资效率下降,经济增长动力需要进一步转变。本文从要素供给、需求结构和产业结构三个角度分析了改革开放以来我国经济增长的动力转换,并指出在当今时期,实现经济增长动力转换需要处理好内外市场的关系、供给和需求的关系以及工业化和城市化的关系。The paper mainly analyzes the driving force of China’s economic growth and the transform mechanism.During the forty years from the reform and opening-up policy,China economic growth has been driven by the low-cost labor force to develop labor-intensive industry and driven by high saving rate to carry out large-scale investment.Since the shock of financial crisis of 2008 and disappear of“demographic dividend”,the cost of labor force increases gradually,the investment efficiency decreases,so that the driving force of economic growth should be changed.The paper analyzes the transform of economic growth drivers from the views of productive factor supply,demand structure and industrial structure,and points out that realizing the transform of economic growth drivers need to conduct the relation between domestic and abroad markets,the relation between supply and demand,and the relation between urbanization and industrialization.
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