基于AHP-VAR的高速公路拥堵治理模型及应用  

MODEL AND APPLICATION OF EXPRESSWAY CONGESTION MANAGEMENT BASED ON AHP-VAR

作　　者：郝建明 袁雷 Hao Jianming;Yuan Lei(COSCO Shipping Technology Co.,Ltd.,Shanghai 200135,China;Ningxia Communications Investment Technology Development Co.,Ltd.,Yinchuan 750011,Ningxia,China)

机构地区：[1]中远海运科技股份有限公司,上海200135 [2]宁夏交投科技发展有限公司,宁夏银川750011

出　　处：《计算机应用与软件》2022年第9期152-157,166,共7页Computer Applications and Software

摘　　要：为了实现高速公路的高效运营管理,提出一种基于AHP-VAR模型的高速公路拥堵治理模型及应用。以高速公路收费站场景为重点,通过AHP层次分析法对影响拥堵的因素进行权重分析,筛选影响高速公路拥堵的核心因素,利用VAR模型对核心因素进行分析和验证。通过对某地高速公路收费站数据的多元时间序列进行检验,证明该模型对分析高速公路收费站拥堵具有有效性。同时,分析了应对收费站拥堵的建议措施,对我国高速公路的治理及效率提升具有一定的参考价值。In order to realize the efficient operation and management of expressway,this paper proposes a expressway congestion management model based on AHP-VAR model and its application.Focusing on the expressway toll station scene,this paper analyzed the weight of factors affecting expressway congestion through AHP,and screened the core factors affecting expressway congestion.The VAR model was used to analyze and verify the core factors.Through testing the multi-variate time series of toll station data in a certain expressway,it is proved that the model is effective for analyzing the congestion of toll station in expressway.At the same time,the analysis of the suggested measures of dealing with congestion toll station has a certain reference value for our country’s highway management and efficiency improvement.

关 键 词：高速公路收费站 AHP模型 VAR模型 交通拥堵 影响因素 

分 类 号：TP301[自动化与计算机技术—计算机系统结构]