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作 者:王睿[1,2] 张爱瑜 WANG Rui;ZHANG Aiyu(School of Economics and Business Administration,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China;Engineering Science and Education Strategic Research Center,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400044,China)
机构地区:[1]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400044 [2]重庆大学工程科教战略研究中心,重庆400044
出 处:《中国软科学》2022年第8期151-161,共11页China Soft Science
基 金:国家社会科学项目一般项目(18BGJ018);中央高校基本科研项目(2019CDJSK91PT16);重庆市研究生科研创新项目(CYS18059);中央高校基本科研项目(2021CDJSKPT04)。
摘 要:基于中国、美国、日本、韩国、印度与东盟贸易合作现状,利用随机前沿引力模型对其在2000—2020年的贸易效率进行测度与比较。研究发现:中国、美国、日本、韩国、印度在东盟市场的竞争性强于互补性,但近年来互补性不断增强。经济发展水平提升、人口规模扩大、区域贸易协定、交通基础设施以及外资净流入增加对主要贸易伙伴国与东盟各国的贸易效率具有积极影响。无论是总体效率还是不同类别产品效率,主要贸易伙伴国与东盟贸易效率变动表现出较强的趋同性,中国与东盟长期保持的高贸易效率水平以及空间均衡性显著增强了贸易发展的“比较优势”。推动中国与东盟贸易合作可持续发展与实现“竞争新优势”,应进一步降低贸易非效率因素影响、持续优化进出口产品结构、扩大与东盟各国合作深度广度、加强与东盟其他贸易伙伴国合作。Based on the current situation of trade cooperation among China,the United States,Japan,South Korea,India and ASEAN,this paper uses the stochastic frontier gravity model to measure and compare their trade efficiency from 2000 to 2020.The results show that the trade competitiveness of China,the United States,Japan,South Korea and India in ASEAN market is stronger than the complementarity,but the complementarity is increasing in recent years.Higher levels of economic development,larger population,regional trade agreements,transport infrastructure and increased net inflows of foreign directinvestment have positive impacts on the trade efficiency of major trading partners and ASEAN countries.Whether it is at the overall level or the product level,the trade efficiency changes between ASEAN and its major trading partners show strong convergence.The long-term high level of trade efficiency and spatial balance between China and ASEAN significantly enhance the“comparative advantage”of trade development.To promote the sustainable development of China-ASEAN trade cooperation and realize“new competitive advantages”,we should further reduce barriers to trade efficiency,continuously optimize the mix of import and export products,expand the depth and breadth of cooperation with ASEAN countries,and strengthen cooperation with other ASEAN trading partners.
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