出口技术复杂度“瘸腿”型深化与经济增长质量  

Partial Upgrading of Export Technology Complexity and the Economic Growing Quality

作　　者：陈晓华[1] 邓贺 杨高举[2] CHEN Xiaohua;DENG He;YANG Gaoju

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学经管学院 [2]浙江大学经济学院

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2022年第8期103-119,共17页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：浙江省自然科学基金重点项目“资源错配与中国制造业二元技术蛙跳”(LZ21G030003);浙江省自然科学基金项目“创新设计中工匠精神的多层次跃升机理及实证研究”(LY19G020003);浙江省高校重大人文社科攻关计划青年重点项目“生产性服务资源环节误置与制造业技术赶超”(2021QN057);浙江理工大学基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目“瘸腿型技术蛙跳对‘一带一路’地区生产性服务资源配置效率约束的机理、破解路径与中国策略研究”(2021Y007)。

摘　　要：本文在科学识别出口技术复杂度“瘸腿”型深化指数与经济增长质量的基础上,从多维度剖析其影响效应,并细致刻画“瘸腿”型深化的低端锁定效应。得到的结论主要有:(1)出口技术复杂度“瘸腿”型深化会对经济增长质量产生抑制效应,阻碍本土中间品技术复杂度提升和产业资本密集度深化是抑制效应实现的两个重要渠道。(2)出口技术复杂度“瘸腿”型深化对高技术复杂度中间品进口国具有低端锁定功能,会将后发国锁定于低质量、低国际分工地位、低生产率和低要素回报率的低端环节。(3)中国出口技术复杂度“瘸腿”型深化指数位居样本国前列,产业链与供应链自主可控能力和全球价值链关键节点型中间品的生产能力相对较弱。(4)中国的投入产出效率在样本国中处于较低位置,不仅表明“瘸腿”型深化对中国经济增长质量产生了非常强的抑制性,还表明提升经济增长质量和经济运行效率具有非常强的紧迫性。This article analyzes the effect of partial upgrading of export complexity on economic growing quality from multi-dimensions,and specifically depicts the partial upgrding low-end locking effect.The main findings are as follow.Firstly,the partial upgrading of export technology complexity restricts economic growing quality.Hindering local intermediate products technology complexity and industrial capital intensity improvements are two channels for the effect.Secondly,the partial upgrading takes a low end locking(effect,including product quality,international division,productivity and factor return rate,to higher complexity intermediate products importing countries.Thirdly,China’s partial upgrading index ranks front in sample,and China holds weaknesses in independent controllability of industrial and supply chain,also weak in key-node intermediate productivity in GVC.Lastly,China’s input-output efficiency lies behind in the sample,which implies the partial upgrading takes strong negative effect to economic growing quality,therefore China needs to improve economic growing quality and efficiency as quick as possible.

关 键 词：“瘸腿”型深化 经济增长质量 高技术复杂度中间品 低端锁定 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]