基于风险矩阵法的农村供水工程风险分析研究  

Study on risk analysis of rural water supply projects based on risk matrix method

作　　者：廖丽莎[1] 宋卫坤[1] 邬晓梅[1] 郭凯先 温军 刘满苍 LIAO Lisha;SONG Weikun;WU Xiaomei;GUO Kaixian;WEN Jun;LIU Mancang(China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research,Beijing 100048,China;Qinghai Water Conservancy and Hydropower Research Institute Co.,Ltd.,Xining 810001,Qinghai,China)

机构地区：[1]中国水利水电科学研究院,北京100048 [2]青海省水利水电科学研究院有限公司,青海西宁810001

出　　处：《水利发展研究》2022年第8期31-36,共6页Water Resources Development Research

基　　金：青海省科技成果转化专项(2021-NK-123)。

摘　　要：农村供水涉及广大农村居民的切身利益,是实现乡村振兴的基础条件之一。近20年的大规模农村供水工程的建设,显著提升了农村居民生活饮用水条件。但是由于我国自然地理条件、经济发展水平以及水资源禀赋区域差异性大,部分地区没有建立工程长效运行机制,农村供水工程风险抵御防范能力较弱,还存在农村供水保障程度不高等问题。本文采用风险矩阵法对农村供水工程供水水源、取输水设施、水厂和配水管网四个环节各风险事件进行分析,建立了农村供水工程风险事件四级风险接受准则,可为农村供水工程风险评估和风险应对提供技术支撑。Rural water supply is related to the vital interests of rural residents and is one of the basic conditions of rural revitalization. The large-scale construction of rural water supply projects in the past 20 years has significantly improved the drinking water conditions of rural residents. However, due to huge differences in local conditions, economic and social development status and water distribution, the long-term operation mechanism of projects in some areas has not been established. The risk resistance and prevention capability of some rural water supply projects is weak, and the guarantee level of rural water supply is still low.In this paper, the risk matrix method is used to analyze the risk events in the four links of rural water supply projects, namely water supply source, water intake and transport facilities, water plants and water distribution pipeline network. By doing so, a four-level risk acceptance guideline for risk events in rural water supply projects has been established, which can provide technical support for risk assessment and risk response of rural water supply projects.

关 键 词：农村供水工程 风险分析 风险矩阵法 

分 类 号：TV93[水利工程—水利水电工程]