安徽省农民收入的空间演变规律及其影响因素  

Spatial Evolution and Influencing Factors of Farmers’ Income in Anhui Province

作　　者：金燕芝 张克荣 姜亮宇 侯有信 JIN Yan-zhi;ZHANG Ke-rong;JIANG Liang-yu;HOU You-xin(Business School,Fuyang Normal University,Fuyang 236000,China)

机构地区：[1]阜阳师范大学商学院,安徽阜阳236000

出　　处：《辽东学院学报（社会科学版）》2022年第4期46-53,共8页Journal of Liaodong University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：安徽高校优秀青年骨干人才国内访学研修项目(gxgnfx2021005);安徽省创新发展研究课题攻关项目(2018CXF163);安徽高校省级人文社会科学研究重点项目(SK2020A0333)。

摘　　要：结合安徽省不同地区的产业结构和发展情况,采用因子分析法对2010—2019年安徽省影响农民收入的相关因素进行分析,通过回归模型分析各因素对农民收入的影响程度。结果发现:农民收入水平变化存在正向空间自相关,在空间上形成高高集聚和低低集聚的分布特征;地区经济发展因子和第三产业发展因子对农民收入起到正向作用,而农业机械发展均衡因子、当地基建和农业支持因子与农民收入的关系并不显著;城镇化率的提高和第三产业中的服务业对增加农民收入有积极促进作用。据此提出缩小地区间农民收入差距的建议:以地区带动的方式改变区域间经济发展的不平衡;构建完善的就业培训体系,推动乡村服务业加快发展;以第三产业带动城镇化水平提高。Based on the industrial structure and development of different regions in Anhui Province, the factors affecting farmers’ income in Anhui Province from 2010 to 2019 were analyzed by factor analysis method, and the influence of various factors on farmers’ income was analyzed by regression model. The results show that there is a positive spatial autocorrelation in the change of farmers’ income level, and the distribution characteristics of high and low agglomeration are formed in space. Regional economic development factor and tertiary industry development factor play a positive role in farmers’ income, but the relationship between agricultural machinery development equilibrium factor, local infrastructure and agricultural support factor and farmers’ income is not obvious;the improvement of urbanization rate and service industry in tertiary industry have positive effect on increasing farmers’ income. Accordingly, suggestions are put forward to narrow the income gap among regions: changing the imbalance of regional economic development in a regional-led way;build a sound employment training system to promote the development of rural services;promoting urbanization by tertiary industry.

关 键 词：安徽省 农民收入 空间计量 区域均衡发展 城镇化率 农业第三产业 

分 类 号：F323.8[经济管理—产业经济]